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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Gfs snowfall is around twice of Nams. If that's a fold, I'll take it every day.
  2. The precip shield makes it look like one big warm front. Maybe that's all it is for us. Lol
  3. It delays the change in DC until between 11 and 12, but has the same or less snow due to less qpf. Problem is, with the qpf comes the warmth.
  4. Insufficient blocking allows it to be pushed out as fast as it came in.
  5. Nams have sleet all the way into southern CT & RI. Just wait Boston, the sleet's coming for you too!
  6. This has that 12/20 feel where the Euro had me at 18" and BWI was 4"+ two days before, only for the Nam to knock sense into everything. I ended up with 6" and then ip/zr.
  7. 3k as bad as 12k....maybe worse if you can believe it. And I know you can!
  8. If you look at the DC sounding at 7am, it is clearly close enough for snow even if Nam is correct.
  9. I still think back to that anafrontal snow in March 2014 where the Nam insisted on a warm layer around same spot as this storm, while other models played it down. Nam was wrong and mby got 7". We'll see.
  10. Flow right out of the eastern equatorial Pacific. https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/large
  11. Looking at p-type radars, Euro and Gfs looking spot on with the snow/sleet line along the southern TN border at 7am.
  12. Pretty good radar here and had sectors for close-up views. It's a small screen on mobile until you turn your phone sideways. https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/us/
  13. Nice red sky in the northern horizon at sunrise this morning. Nothing beats the red sky the morning of the 1/16 blizzard. I had a crummy phone at the time so the pics don't do it just, plus I was driving so...
  14. Euro snow depth as of 7am Monday. Mix or not, that's still a lot of snow remaining on the ground after the storm.
  15. Something will pop back up. We'll still be in a favorable MJO phase. And then we've got HM on our side.
  16. Wth went on down there. My brother said his bill has doubled+. New rates or new taxes?
  17. Never forget, the Euro is usually right when it screws us and wrong when it crushes us.
  18. Just a reminder that the map is 10:1, so you would think Kuchera would increase it some.
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