mitchnick

We know how the Nams nailed thermals for 1/25, maybe they're right this time. P.s. I know there's more to it than thermals (e.g. storm intensity, etc.) , but you should still get my point.

How I wish the Nam and Gfs would shove it right up the USB port of the Euro on this one.

Wow!!!!

Seems like it's been 10 years since we had outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) in the right spot just east of the Dateline. We'll, fwiw, the Euro weeklies say just that. I'd prefer it a touch further east, but this darn close to perfect if memory serves. It should last through the end of the month. Maybe there's a little hope for a score with this, or so I hope. With the burgeoning Niño, maybe we can see this next winter as a fixture? Here's a link to an explanation if you're interested. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_mjo_family_time_longitudes?base_time=202602100000&filter=no&parameter=olr

10:1 higher than Kuchera thanks to warmish temps.

Lol. Damn autocorrect. I've written snow so many times, it apparently just figures any word starting with the letter "s" is snow. Should have been stuff.

I haven't gotten a bad meal there, and I get a variety of snow from the breakfast special, steak, and salads. Only got seafood a few times, haddock and cod, I think, but it's probably not a specialty but still not bad.

I don't know their names, but I'd bet my retirement it was one of these guys.

Nam tried hard, but needs to be wound tighter.

Only about 1/2" less

The key to that post is 78 panel.

Yep. No dice this run.

Don't be surprised if the Icon comes north. It's 6z ensembles did, which is why I mention it, fwiw.

Might explain why the mean is 2"+ over a large area, but reduced from 0z by 1/2" generally.

Yep, and on the same Euro run 5 days later there are these temp anomalies.

Here too right now.

I haven't bothered to look when the threat is, and maybe it's already been mentioned, but something after this weekend made the Eps and Geps snowfall maps jump today.

Eps 6z vs 0z

Going to take a few days to get that in the right spot I think.

Too far away.

Eps snowfall was disappointing, so there was a lot of warmth in them.

Fixed