mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Quit trying to excite Weather Will like that.
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Thanks for the curse. Mediocre Christmas to you!
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Gfs 850's on top and Nam below. Notice wind direction too.
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18z Gfs has the 546 height line through northern Baltimore City while the Nam has it just south of DCA. IF the Nam is closer to correct with the cold air draining further south, that's enough to make a difference for some.
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Bam, Bam, Bam!
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I did a total thru 150hrs so some may be from tonight
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Eps
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AIEURO came south with snowfall.
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Plenty of time too.
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AIGFS is colder aloft than Gfs fwiw.
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I don't want realism realism, I want fantasy!
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Meh. Still close
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Just gunna post this
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At 60hrs, 12z gfs height lines are ever so slightly north of 6z. We'll see if that makes a difference.
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I got nothing imby for that event. Thanks for ruining my day. Merry Christmas nonetheless!
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Gefs have not been great with snowfall this year, and downright lousy at 96+ hrs. This threat may not workout for this forum, but that remains an accurate critique of the Gefs snowfall predictions this year.
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Where's your red tag?
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6z Euro came south some, but not far enough. Slams NYC. Nobody's safe with this one before Christmas imho.
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Meh...my wife with has a long list of things of things to be pissed off about with me if this doesn't do it.
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It did and consistent with the Euro's tendency for slow run-to-run changes. So I can see we'll all be running to the bathroom to check our phones at Christmas gatherings. Lol
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The block is legit, but you and I have been screwed so many times over the years with 150hr+ storms and blizzards to not be surprised. It's just different IF this time it works in our favor. But, it is the Gfs, so...
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Seasonal trends baby! Of course, that means ultimately we get nothing and Chill gets a foot+.
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That system is getting pushed south over the last couple of runs. I have some weenie hope the push south continues. If central and southern VA can get 5-10" in early/mid December, no reason we don't have a shot at that system getting far enough south to much of this forum for snow.
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Private forecast company out of the Midwest. Indiana I believe. Yes, legit. They were spot on last year with their calls of cold despite models when they were trying to break down the cold. But past performance is....
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Or fake blues
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