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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Let me be the first.
  2. mitchnick
    Slp just sits off the coast. Chilly in the wake of the storm. Hello Fall! Will this be a familiar scenario thru the winter? Let's hope.
  3. mitchnick
    Rain doesn't stop on Euro until 108hrs. Lol
  4. mitchnick
    Totals thru Tuesday 11pm. Still raining south of PA border too
  5. mitchnick
    Euro coming in pretty wet now too thru 78hrs and more to fall.
  6. mitchnick
    Thru 138hrs, total qpf on the EuroAI.
  7. mitchnick
    Icon midweek is lol.
  8. mitchnick
    2 reasons not to worry. First, the Cfs2 site has remained steady with temps it's been advertising for JFM. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Second reason, the October Cansips comes out in only 11 days! Lol
  9. mitchnick
    6z AIEPS entire run fwiw
  10. mitchnick
    6z AIEPS likes mid week.
  11. mitchnick
    6z
  12. mitchnick
    Welllllll, maybe, maybe not. No doubt the ridge in eastern Canada is the wild card, but there are ridges across the globe and there's no guarantee the one in se Canada will be too warm or that it won't be centered further north. And exactly how it morphs over the season will obviously have something to say about it, as I think we both agree it will become more forgiving after December. That said, I still don't hold much hope for December simply due to climo. P.s Just so that you understand my pov, I don't care about monthly temps, only snowfall. And we can squeeze a storm out of a warm month.
  13. mitchnick
    Don't forget the Euro was too warm with its 24/25 & 25/26 forecasts for the east. So if anyone is betting on the Euro for this year, it'll probably be more based on odds than getting the met right.
  14. mitchnick
    Cfs2 has a seperate link for the coming month. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/monthly/
  15. mitchnick
    It didn't stop you from commenting in the NE forum, nor did you question it. Lol
  16. mitchnick
    Surprised you didn't post this snowfall map posted in the NE forum that shows AN snowfall in a good part of the Mid Atlantic. You commented on it in the NE forum.
  17. mitchnick
    You'd probably want the High to start a bit more south as the surface winds would probably be more easterly than ne'ly, which would hurt the lower levels. Plus there's no slp off the coast to pull in a northerly component to the surface flow. This knowledge comes from age.
  18. mitchnick
    Hey, at least it was 1972-1976 and not 1872-1876.
  19. mitchnick
    Wait...aren't you Stormchaser Chuck? You should never be surprised by a snow storm! Lol
  20. mitchnick
    Amen as to the early to mid 70's. My high school years of 72/73-75/76 were horrendous. Fortunately, redemption came the next 4 years in college, though 76/77 was not snowy, only historic for the cold.
  21. mitchnick
    I deleted my post re the Cfs2 as it seems the Cfs2 site is stuck on 9/12. Looks like TT, as of today’s link, is more current. Those government guys are tricky!
  22. mitchnick
    Try "Global Relative AAM"
  23. mitchnick
    I never heard of the authors/site, but 40/70 was pretty critical of them over in the New England forums winter thread.
  24. mitchnick
    Definitely expect some adjustments over the next 2 months...hopefully not in the wrong direction. After that, it's December with the daily weeklies update! What a drug this hobby can be! Lol
  25. mitchnick
    Never argue with a March map like that one! Lol It has been consistent fwiw.
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