mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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That's just my convincing, lawyerly way. Lol Seriously, in my literally 54 years as a weenie, winters need to prove themselves. This winter has proved itself to have a lousy, overall pattern. Sure, it can change, but until we get that hit, the proof remains the same.
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Are you saying it's a great pattern? I mean we've gone probably a week with ensembles spitting out <1" of snow during peak climo. I'm speaking truth...it's been a lousy pattern.
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We are snake bit with this lousy pattern that has established itself this winter.
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Might go back to snow, but it's an unbelievable scenario.
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With the High Pressure pulling off the Virginia coast, you knew we had no chance.
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Gem light, but just misses the big one.
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GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens.
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I had no choice.
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Meh up here.
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Meh, a little too far south for my liking.
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It's pretty compact, but getting bigger.
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Yeah, if the Gfs can dip and then hook that storm NE, it may get big near the coast.
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It's doing that already on the Icon, but may be too strong and/or unable/unwilling to move. Even if it cooperates, however, we still need the vort controlling our storm to cooperate as well. Iow, the Canadian vortex is only 1/2 of our problem.
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That tpv in Quebec needs to lift out if it has any chance, and that's assuming our slp wouldn't just slide out to sea.
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Icon? Looks it would be suppressed, but idk.
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Compared to the runs of the last 5 days+ of the Gefs, there's finally some life in the 18z snowfall total. I didn't go into how or when. I'm looking for totals >1"!
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I thought he was dead!
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Gotta' look for hope somewhere and the Gem did look best among the 12z bunch that ran through 2 weeks+. So what the heck.
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I haven't gone into details on how and when it falls, but suffice to say the Geps has the best snowfall for the 12z run. I put the link to Pivotal if you want to delve into it further. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cmceens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2026010712&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Is that for Niñas in particular or for all Enso states?
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It's just overrunning that unusually further south.
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There was a small uptick over 0z in ensemble snowfall, albeit meager. It's better than going the other way.
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That NW flow is killin' us.
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Euro Ai looks like garbage
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Just gunna post. Nice step toward something bigger and better.
