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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Sleet line blew past me in Hanover after 1/2"+. Hopefully for those to my north it'll slow down. Fwiw, down here, the much maligned NAM was pretty close to right all along. Good luck!
  2. mitchnick
    Yeah, that was fun while it lasted. At least my back is saved for another day of shoveling.
  3. mitchnick
    Gotta sniff it if you want to max oit!
  4. mitchnick
    Me too. In a matter of 30 seconds I lost site of the lighted towers on top of Pigeon Hills.
  5. mitchnick
    All snow now. Earlier runs of the Hrrr showed the warm, dry layer to start that would cool and moisten after the start of precip. We're on track.
  6. mitchnick
    Just saw your post. There is some sleet but snow too. Hrrr showed initial precip as rain, then to snow. I guess it'll switch over once all layers cool. But who knows. Lol
  7. mitchnick
    First flakes
  8. mitchnick
    I assumed those heavy echoes were sleet but expected that to change once further north. We'll see.
  9. mitchnick
    Precip moving in fast...really fast. That'll help.
  10. mitchnick
    6z Rgem looks great actually.
  11. mitchnick
    You're not going to like this, but he's at an all you can eat buffet.
  12. mitchnick
    Lawyers' kids have got to eat too ya' know!
  13. mitchnick
    Rgem did well up here with the January 19 storm last winter, though it turned out to be too cool further south. I'm going to bet it does OK with this one up here solely because it's the best case next to the Gfs that wants to drop 5-6" up here per the 18z run. So Rgem with its 2.5-3" is a fair compromise between other guidance and the Gfs outlier.
  14. mitchnick
    Wxbell model Spire only because it says it on the lower left corner
  15. mitchnick
    I'll take "More Shitty Models" for $1,000 Alex.
  16. mitchnick
    Yep. That's what the Gfs does
  17. mitchnick
  18. mitchnick
    Gfs holds
  19. mitchnick
    Welp, there's a reason why I expressed concern yesterday that the Nam and Icon were bad despite their secondary status. Even though climatologically speaking N&W typically does best, all areas in the MA need a modeling consensus or we rely on luck/fluke. Hopefully, either luck or fluke show up tomorrow for all of us, or at least a trend reversal at 18z.
  20. mitchnick
    The one you were pumping!
  21. mitchnick
    Hrrr wasn't an absolute disaster (copyright JI)
  22. mitchnick
    Rap's holding sorta
  23. mitchnick
    Have you ever considered a career in motivational speaking?
  24. mitchnick
    6z Euro drier too.
  25. mitchnick
    Interesting how the basic signature of the precip shield is very similar to the Gfs, but the Gfs is just heavier.
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