Odds of a favorable, general pattern may be against us in the east, but we get the bulk of our snows in meh patterns, and they are usually dirty storms (zr and/or ip). I'm of the opinion this winter will produce some moderate, at least, events.
In keeping with typical medium/long range modeling, pattern changes are usually rushed by the models. My wawg (wild azz weenie guess) is that we see something close to those cold/snowy solutions advertisrd the last few days come to fruition not around Christmas, but after the New Year.
The market reacts to changes in model runs. I don't think they are any different than those on this board. And when it comes to commodity markets, it's more about getting ahead of consensus than the ultimate reality.
Last night's Euro was, but that's still 264hrs away, which is still too far away to be certain. Imho, it'll all come down to whether Christmas ends up being a day, more or less, before or after a cold frontal passage.
Eyeballing, I'd say 3" up here. I went to bed at around 1:30 and the local Wunderground stations were 32 or 33, so that didn't help with accumulations. Already the snow on the grassy areas has that mogul look from melting, though it's now 30 with temps dropping so that was from the middle of the night. All in all, a great and unexpected event. Best of luck to everyone else still ripping snow.
The 300'+ towers on Pigeon Hills are beginning to obscure a bit. Typical for me to lose site even in light snow being around 2.5 miles away from me, give or take.