mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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I hope not. Flurries just started here fwiw.
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What's this....the 8th modeled snowstorm on the AI thus season? Hard to get excited at this point. But we hope.
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Hey...1990's! My youth! I missed it then, so don’t take it from me now.
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Obviously, something fell before that panel which means probably a start as snow. Once you get to the red doted line, you're likely losing some part of mid levels.
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My 2 cent opinion is that this Nina's last gasp of strong trades (blue on this map for those unfamiliar) is occurring and will remain until the end of February. That will make it difficult, if not unlikely, to squeeze in anything greater than a 2-4" event (if anything) imho. Come March, Niño conditions will finally overpower the Niña. Whether we can get everything to align (cold and qpf) is too early to say.
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Lucky 13 ehh?
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GfsAI has a storm for next Sunday. Looks snow to rain, then back to snow as low travels through N VA.
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We still have another couple weeks of Niña trade winds to fook any chances of getting Niño benefits. That's just the way it works around here unfortunately.
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I'm getting the feeling that is their tendency. Anyone know or remember how they looked during periods where ops and ensembles were void of threats?
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1121222111122211121111221111111122211....
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AI dry too but for the overrunning thing.
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Last night's 0z Euro at 198hrs on top and 12z 186hrs on the bottom. Wtf has happened to the Euro?
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AI ends the run with another trough in the east, but no snow unfortunately.
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2-4"+
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Euro AI is snow. How much?
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Got it. With the Pacific seemingly opening up, the models are going to have their hands full with vorts shooting all over the Conus, so I have low confidence in any model, moreso than usual.
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How did the AI Eps look before the storm last Sunday?
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And it looks to get interesting with the Pacific starting to chip into the mix.
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Don't you love that purple over our back yards? Lol
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I think that was Heisy. I was in MD driving all around the beltway down I83 instead of the west side of the Beltway thanks to an accident that closed the west side for 4hrs+. Effers!
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Which is a bit odd/inconsistent in light of Jake Wx's post above.
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They aren't even that great for NE.
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This is probably our best shot of the year and more typical of our big ones temp-wise and otherwise. Darn shame if we miss it.
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Still strong for that far out.
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For the stingy EPS at days 10-11? That's a strong signal imho.
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