mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I was surprised to see as well how much the Conus, especially east of the Rockies, stays at or BN for weeks after that week. And the AN is not excessive. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202609260000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610050000 -
That cam just died. The one in Kitty Hawk works. https://surfchex.com/cams/kitty-hawk-nc/
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That cam just died. Lol Here's Kitty Hawk, NC up the beach a few miles.. https://surfchex.com/cams/kitty-hawk-nc/
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N.C. feeling it already. https://surfchex.com/cams/nags-head-web-cam-abalone-st/
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Coming to a beach near you. Angry! https://surfchex.com/cams/nags-head-web-cam-abalone-st/
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3k Nam says Nyet to most.
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Euro Ai was throwing decent qpf back west of me.
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BAM Wx winter forecast. Mainly average snowfall to slightly below in northern areas and slightly above in southern areas. But they put all of the forum in the highest chance to bust high for snowfall due to risk of a big 1 or 2 storms. (See starting 17:35 on video.) A little AN on temps.
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Too hot, ehh? You're getting old Bob. Join the club. I've been a member only too long.
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Just one more reason to hate Ocean City!
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Low 50's around here this morning and still breezy.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
December had a decent snow storm from VA to north of PHL ( idk how far) with 6"+ from VA to near PHL. -
1" on the dot up here. Feels and looks like Fall on the first day of Fall. Hopefully the first day of Winter delivers similarly...to Winter that is!
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On a related note, a met from the NE forum put together a snow storm archive of winters going back to 92/93. It is NE centric, but plenty of radars and maps that include the Conus and MA region. Here's a link if interested, assuming it hasn't already been posted. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/storm-archive
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Maybe already posted somewhere in this thread/forum, but if not, Nam, Href, and Sref are gone as of 10/6.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mitchnick replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Euro suite advertising decent rains thru the middle of the week. 1.5-2"+ -
What's left in life if we can't complain about the Nam and Srefs?
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Eps looks like it'll come in with a similar qpf/storm progression outcome, thought likely not as extreme, as the operational.
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Let me be the first.
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Slp just sits off the coast. Chilly in the wake of the storm. Hello Fall! Will this be a familiar scenario thru the winter? Let's hope.
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