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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    I don't care who believes me frankly. But for this forum, it often works. And there's nothing anyone can say that changes my mind. Lol
  2. mitchnick
    Don't need them. Just multiply 10:1 numbers by .8!
  3. mitchnick
    The writing was on the wall early in the season. Like I said in December and several times since, you really want to be in the bullseye with the first threat. To the naysayers, NO...., it doesn't always work out that way (think 2007 clipper that put us ahead of Boston only to be our biggest event that winter while ENE did well.) But it's reliable enough to assume the area that does bullseye first will end the season with the highest snowfall anomalies as the pattern will tend repeat through the season imho.
  4. mitchnick
    I don't know. But thought I'd mention it because I would guess it's a possibility. You know us snow weenies...terribly vindictive! Lol
  5. mitchnick
    Keep in mind that the SV scale is off by 1, at least on the Euro I know it is. So if you're in the color scale says 6"+, it's really 4"+.
  6. mitchnick
    Not such a bad look on the Eps Sunday at 1pm. And it is a mean.
  7. mitchnick
    It's called salvaging chicken salad from chicken shiat! Big improvement on Eps over 0z too.
  8. mitchnick
    Seems like the AI is the broad brush, best case scenario of the operational.
  9. mitchnick
    Inverted trough. See WxUSAF post above.
  10. mitchnick
    The northern vort is igniting what's hanging off the coast. See my post above. It ain't over until...
  11. mitchnick
    6z EuroAI still showing a "storm" with similar accumulations to the 0z run. All I have is TT to go off of, so no snowfall map is available to me.
  12. mitchnick
    It seemed to me that the southern stream system, which was hanging back in the decent outcomes, shot east and then there wasn't enough left for the northern stream vort to ignite. Which, if correct, there's still a slim shot if the southern energy moves east quicker, preferably leaving something behind. All speculation by me, of course.
  13. mitchnick
    Can't believe the blizzard at the end of the Gfs run got no mention. It was even loading up at the end of the Euro run....NO, NO, don't shoot!!! Lol
  14. mitchnick
    Cheeseburger Happy meal, tootsie pops, cotton candy, grape Nehi,...
  15. mitchnick
    Didn't see the AiGfs mentioned. Apologize if it was. Anyway, colder run, primary stays further south of 12z run, but a faster mover so qpf is down.
  16. mitchnick
    Not only this threat, every threat is a shell game with features leading right up to the event/non-event.
  17. mitchnick
    Wake up and go to sleep.
  18. mitchnick
    Just gonna say, I'd roll the dice with these 2 maps.
  19. mitchnick
    I wouldn't say it's a nod to the Euro. It's much better actually, but not as good as 12z.
  20. mitchnick
    Icon 1mb weaker than 12z with slp a touch east as well.
  21. mitchnick
    Vort on the Iconbl is a bit of a mess. A consolidated vort would really help us all.
  22. mitchnick
    None of these models can string together 2 consecutive near identical runs in a row.
  23. mitchnick
    Please don't force his family to support the addiction.
  24. mitchnick
    Snows for a long time with some pretty low heights. Makes me wonder about decent rates being possible post 126hrs that could boost ratios over 10:1.
  25. mitchnick
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