mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Since I'm always optimistic as there's nothing to lose enjoying the hobby, I'll remain in the open instead of ducking for cover. Lol -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Leave him alone. He likes that corner of the room and the wall feels good on his head. -
Plenty of examples of Niño, Niña and Nada storms at this link. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A Roundy post in honor of Snowman...sorta. https://x.com/PaulRoundy1/status/2087329199317012723?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I thought it was this year and was surprised it wasn't showing more than just a broad brush look. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Definitely broad brushes it considering what has fallen imby, but it has me AN at least. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's continued in August. I've had >3" in the past 8 days. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
From the mby point of view, the last month has been wet in central PA, with lots of T'Storms. Definitely wetter than the past several years and not Niña'ish. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Any chance you can use the same scale on the 500mb maps so as to compare apples to apples? P.s. not to say there will be a difference -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There's a TONI and a RONI? No wonder a met degree is 4 years. You need that many just to remember the acronyms. -
See you in a couple of days! Lol Nah, I retired. But that's great money, especially considering the cost of living vs metro areas.
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What is the pay grade for a bulldozer operator if you you don't mind me asking?
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I hate all sides and do my best to generate vitriol against me and between other posters. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You mean "fortunately." Lol -
That's got 72/73 written all over.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I rarely agree with his conclusions, but always read his posts and appreciate the info he posts...even when I wish I didn't read it! Lol -
Heads up! https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mitchnick replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hail too. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mitchnick replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sky is incredible. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looking at the Cfs2 past March, it warms up North America pretty fast getting you to this early forecast for May. So the relative extreme heat from this Niño does get distributed thru the conus/planet, but not until late spring into summer and beyond. Just a thought. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Glad you posted it and not me! Lol -
Don't believe everything you read over in the main El Niño thread.
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Can't wait to see February's forecast next month.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The point I was making was that last year proved that it can be colder than what models progged. I don't give a rat's arse why. It really can be colder than what seasonal models show. Of course, it can be warmer too. But if the warmer than normal isn't in your back yard, do you care? I sure don't. All that said, I think most of us are here for the snow. 12/2015 was at least 10 degrees AN at BWI (my old stomping grounds), yet I had 29" in 1 storm the next month, the record snowfall at BWI. Did I care about December? I think you know the answer. The only concern over temps I have is that it can limit snowfall. But with the right pattern, AN temps in January and February can overcome them. And I know you're looking toward the January-March period as I am instead of met winter.
