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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
  2. mitchnick
    Gefs 5H improved. Whether it translates into more snow we'll soon find out.
  3. mitchnick
    That precip field of snow from SE VA northeast along the coast through ENE missing most to the east seen on many models is eerily similar to Boxing Day to my weenie eyes. So there is precedence for that debacle.
  4. mitchnick
    Absolutely. Remember the storm and Terps loss only too well.
  5. mitchnick
    18z Ukie ensembles look very much like the 18z Eps. Still need to get that left shift some.
  6. mitchnick
    Only reason the mean is not further west are a few way out to sea members.
  7. mitchnick
    Lots of lefties in there.
  8. mitchnick
  9. mitchnick
  10. mitchnick
    $99/yr for Pivotal. It's so cheap it's worth it.
  11. mitchnick
    I don't think anyone posted the Ukie ensembles from 12z. Recall the operational was a miss, but not so with the ensemble mean.
  12. mitchnick
    18z GGEM at max range of 84hrs https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  13. mitchnick
    Looks to have this weekend's fish storm. Must be right! Lol
  14. mitchnick
    Qpf is well less than 1/2".
  15. mitchnick
    Yeah, it's the ensembles we should focus on at this point.
  16. mitchnick
    That all?
  17. mitchnick
    That should do it. Hopefully, not too much!
  18. mitchnick
    Yours truly. But what the Euro is showing is 1/25/00 on steriods...the illegal ones!
  19. mitchnick
    And that's 10:1 too.
  20. mitchnick
    Pretty decent consistency between 0z and 6z too.
  21. mitchnick
    Leaning west
  22. mitchnick
    Operational (top) and Eps 5H anomaly at 144hrs off 6z.
  23. mitchnick
    24hr snowfall mean ending 144hrs (more to come after run finished) from 6z Eps. Notably, the 6hr panel from 144hrs was the best that indicated a real explosion of snowfall and more to come.
  24. mitchnick
    Not there, but headed in the right when comparing 0z to 6z.
  25. mitchnick
    Today's wasn't easy. None of them are easy around here and that's why everything seems so damn complicated...because it is! Lol We keep our fingers crossed and hope complicated works. But that ain't saying the odds are good or bad, especially in light of other current modeling. Even the Euro's 12z run was completely different other than a trough in the SE.
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