Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,822

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    My sky is getting that dark, snow sky as % of snow increases. Probably temporary, but maybe slp is winding up and dropping pressures and temps. Idk
  2. mitchnick
    Snow just started mixing back in with more sleet.
  3. mitchnick
    Apparently, the 6z Euro didn't.
  4. mitchnick
    By 2-3pm it will be sunny hopefully and get in my daily oldster walk outside since I'm not going to the mall. Lol
  5. mitchnick
    Did it ever. Here's the 6z forecast hot off the presses. 2"+ for me after the reality of 1/2"+ eyeballing it.
  6. mitchnick
    It had me with 6" today until last night's 0z when it lowered me to 5", then 4.5" at 6z. After 1/2"+ this morning, I went to sleet. Not saying it'll be wrong. But the bottom line is we need all the models on board, or what can go wrong will.
  7. mitchnick
    Fwiw, the warm Nam was best all along down here in S Central PA despite the Eps having me in the jackpot stripe a few days ago. 1/2"+ before a change to sleet with rain soon to follow. Good luck up there, but be careful buying any colder models.
  8. mitchnick
    Sleet line blew past me in Hanover after 1/2"+. Hopefully for those to my north it'll slow down. Fwiw, down here, the much maligned NAM was pretty close to right all along. Good luck!
  9. mitchnick
    Yeah, that was fun while it lasted. At least my back is saved for another day of shoveling.
  10. mitchnick
    Gotta sniff it if you want to max oit!
  11. mitchnick
    Me too. In a matter of 30 seconds I lost site of the lighted towers on top of Pigeon Hills.
  12. mitchnick
    All snow now. Earlier runs of the Hrrr showed the warm, dry layer to start that would cool and moisten after the start of precip. We're on track.
  13. mitchnick
    Just saw your post. There is some sleet but snow too. Hrrr showed initial precip as rain, then to snow. I guess it'll switch over once all layers cool. But who knows. Lol
  14. mitchnick
    First flakes
  15. mitchnick
    I assumed those heavy echoes were sleet but expected that to change once further north. We'll see.
  16. mitchnick
    Precip moving in fast...really fast. That'll help.
  17. mitchnick
    6z Rgem looks great actually.
  18. mitchnick
    You're not going to like this, but he's at an all you can eat buffet.
  19. mitchnick
    Lawyers' kids have got to eat too ya' know!
  20. mitchnick
    Rgem did well up here with the January 19 storm last winter, though it turned out to be too cool further south. I'm going to bet it does OK with this one up here solely because it's the best case next to the Gfs that wants to drop 5-6" up here per the 18z run. So Rgem with its 2.5-3" is a fair compromise between other guidance and the Gfs outlier.
  21. mitchnick
    Wxbell model Spire only because it says it on the lower left corner
  22. mitchnick
    I'll take "More Shitty Models" for $1,000 Alex.
  23. mitchnick
    Yep. That's what the Gfs does
  24. mitchnick
  25. mitchnick
    Gfs holds
×
×
  • Create New...