Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
  • Posts

    26,812
  • Joined

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Me too. In a matter of 30 seconds I lost site of the lighted towers on top of Pigeon Hills.
  2. All snow now. Earlier runs of the Hrrr showed the warm, dry layer to start that would cool and moisten after the start of precip. We're on track.
  3. Just saw your post. There is some sleet but snow too. Hrrr showed initial precip as rain, then to snow. I guess it'll switch over once all layers cool. But who knows. Lol
  4. I assumed those heavy echoes were sleet but expected that to change once further north. We'll see.
  5. Precip moving in fast...really fast. That'll help.
  6. You're not going to like this, but he's at an all you can eat buffet.
  7. Lawyers' kids have got to eat too ya' know!
  8. Rgem did well up here with the January 19 storm last winter, though it turned out to be too cool further south. I'm going to bet it does OK with this one up here solely because it's the best case next to the Gfs that wants to drop 5-6" up here per the 18z run. So Rgem with its 2.5-3" is a fair compromise between other guidance and the Gfs outlier.
  9. Wxbell model Spire only because it says it on the lower left corner
  10. I'll take "More Shitty Models" for $1,000 Alex.
  11. Welp, there's a reason why I expressed concern yesterday that the Nam and Icon were bad despite their secondary status. Even though climatologically speaking N&W typically does best, all areas in the MA need a modeling consensus or we rely on luck/fluke. Hopefully, either luck or fluke show up tomorrow for all of us, or at least a trend reversal at 18z.
  12. Hrrr wasn't an absolute disaster (copyright JI)
  13. Have you ever considered a career in motivational speaking?
  14. Interesting how the basic signature of the precip shield is very similar to the Gfs, but the Gfs is just heavier.
  15. Nothing will beat the run of the Dgex in January, 2010 that showed 44" around BWI. Not because it was so bad as one would think, but because it was right thanks to the first 14 days of February!
  16. 24hr snowfall ending 144hrs on the Eps looked like this, keeping in mind how stingy the Eps can be on individual threats.
×
×
  • Create New...