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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Appears to be a kicker coming down near the Dakotas and the Gfs has it further north into Canada, the Gem further south, and the Ukie the furthest south. It's killing the ridge orientation.
  2. Ukie on the road to a total miss unless that trough has a miracle.
  3. You could see it coming instead height lines all backing up.
  4. Look at those height lines rising and everything backingvup
  5. Icon definitely further west with the western lobe of the northern trough at 72 vs 6z run fwiw.
  6. Pivotal has stopped at 57 hrs on the 6z Euro. Any other vendors stuck?
  7. There may be a few twists and turns left, but we are getting to a point of near consensus in general terms to think it's slipping/slipped away.
  8. Comparing currently updating 6z Euro at 36hrs with 6z yesterday, the last great run.
  9. I've gotta turn off auto correct because it's messing up every post. Idiot tech people.
  10. The 120hrs Gefs 5H looks decent, but when you put it into motion, it's moving ENE which is definitely not what was shown on the big hits. But we're still 96hrs out.
  11. Gefs 5H improved. Whether it translates into more snow we'll soon find out.
  12. That precip field of snow from SE VA northeast along the coast through ENE missing most to the east seen on many models is eerily similar to Boxing Day to my weenie eyes. So there is precedence for that debacle.
  13. Absolutely. Remember the storm and Terps loss only too well.
  14. 18z Ukie ensembles look very much like the 18z Eps. Still need to get that left shift some.
  15. Only reason the mean is not further west are a few way out to sea members.
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