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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    6hrs snowfall off latest Sref. Pretty far north. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=sn10_006h-mean-imp&rh=2026012015&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  2. mitchnick
    Now aren't you just better than everyone else.
  3. mitchnick
    That 2nd part from the u/l low is where you'll potentially see the 20:1 stuff.
  4. mitchnick
    This is 6z same time. That trough in Canada is further south this run and looks a bit stronger. That could be messing up the full phase for now.
  5. mitchnick
    Close enough at this range though.
  6. mitchnick
    Part 2 will have terrific ratios.
  7. mitchnick
    We haven't had the MJO shift to Niño phases until now.
  8. mitchnick
    The sole purpose of the Gfs is to torment JI.
  9. mitchnick
    Tough crowd lol
  10. mitchnick
    Doesn't stop until Monday morning or Noon.
  11. mitchnick
    And we love you too GGEM.
  12. mitchnick
    Looks to be long duration too
  13. mitchnick
    Icon trough not as strong or neutral as 6z Euro, so it doesn't prolong precip like Euro would...give it time and it will change.
  14. mitchnick
    Icon looking like 0z GGEM
  15. mitchnick
    At 81hrs, Nam incredibly similar to 6z Euro
  16. mitchnick
    Note the trajectory is more sw/ne. That's great to see.
  17. mitchnick
    Eps Snowfall. North creep continues. 0z on bottom for comparison.
  18. mitchnick
    Euro 144hrs 700mb RH map. Southwesterly winds pumping in Gulf moisture all the way back to central Missouri. Yeah...it's gunna' keep snowing for a while after the 144hr panel.
  19. mitchnick
    If you look at the progression of the Euro, it brings the northern stream trough down with a delay that allows the Baja low to fully ejected and the 2 combined/phased are what we get with that 5H anomaly map I posted.
  20. mitchnick
    At 144hrs, the slp is sitting over Nags Head with the 50/50 feeding in cold air and the midwest trough pulling in the Gulf moisture while the slp is sorta stuck. Oh boy!
  21. mitchnick
    And look where the main trough is! It's going to be snowing for a while after that and ratios will be 2/10/10-like potentially.
  22. mitchnick
    Euro another small tick slower this run.
  23. mitchnick
    If that northern stream trough on the Euro was to sharpen some, it could tug the coastal back, or hold it in place an additional 3-6 hours, then we're not in business but in trouble. Lol
  24. mitchnick
    The snowfall pattern on the Euro last night tells me it'll come further north and even up thru NE should do well. They already did OK on 0z, but I'll bet it gets better for them...and probably us too.
  25. mitchnick
    With that much qpf, who cares? Anyway, the weight of that much snow always compacts.
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