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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. I haven't bothered to look when the threat is, and maybe it's already been mentioned, but something after this weekend made the Eps and Geps snowfall maps jump today.
  2. Eps snowfall was disappointing, so there was a lot of warmth in them.
  3. Now I know why I woke up at 2:50 and couldn't get back to sleep...weenie alarm clock.
  4. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=cmc_gdps
  5. Icon would have been further north this run if it extended beyond 120hrs. That Lakes vort showed up unlike 12z and 700mb RH was noticeably further north. Heights along the coast were higher too.
  6. It took you 575 posts to finally figure out we have issues? You need to concentrate harder.
  7. By 4/1, we will be tired of precip. Droughts always end in floods or near flooding. Jmho
  8. It's the Great Lakes vort that needs to pull it up. 12z Ukie lost it, while 0z Ukie and 6z Euro have it.
  9. Idk, all but a handful of Eps members has the slp in a decent location. In fact, just a few that are way ots skew the mean. We'll see.
  10. Incredible how seasonal trends can hold on, whether in reality or on modeling.
  11. "Could be"....The typical way to make a forecast leaving yourself an out if it fails, which would never happen, of course, since MJO 20-30 day forecasts are always accurate. I suspect you've got to pay those people if you want a real forecast.
  12. Seems like mother nature is doing her best to pad the snow stats of central and southern VA, but even she can fail too with rain getting in the way.
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