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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Seems like a lot of mets feel that way, but down here anything short of near model and ensemble consensus ends up a fail or disappointment.
  2. mitchnick
    Whether you like Bamwx or not, he has some great explanations for coming pattern, and should watch.
  3. mitchnick
    BAM WX says walk away from the cliff.
  4. mitchnick
    Speaking of changing ensembles, Gefs' 6z run just took a pretty big jump toward the Eps. End of 0z on top and 6z on bottom. Lol
  5. mitchnick
    I should have added that with the SE ridge on the 6z Gfs, it offered a great overrunning threat at the end of the run. Too bad it won't be right.
  6. mitchnick
    Gefs continue to give us a SE ridge after multiple runs. It is a Niña still, so so I don't think we'll can write it off completely or assume the Eps will prevail.
  7. mitchnick
    Ensembles are supposed to trump operationals, but they can, and do, change just as fast as the operationals making them marginally more accurate than the operationals imho.
  8. mitchnick
    Looks like around 16" imby. If that's not just average, it's only barely over imby. Lol
  9. mitchnick
    Gefs definitely likes the period too.
  10. mitchnick
    At 312hrs, Gfs puts a tpv over Hudson Bay. Won't be shocked if we see it try another one before the end of the run.
  11. mitchnick
    This is about as close to the snowfall forecasts before 2/6/10 as you'll ever see.
  12. mitchnick
    Spiking the ball at 240hrs, ehh? You'll never learn.
  13. mitchnick
    I wish I could I d be in the bullseye at 240hrs.
  14. mitchnick
    Prom week early this year?
  15. mitchnick
    Snow for our back yards verbatim
  16. mitchnick
    That sums it up.
  17. mitchnick
    Don't forget that excitement was initiated by the click-baiting internet mets. And remember I posted in response to a decent 5H on the Eps it was important to know how it got there.
  18. mitchnick
    Gefs say that. Eps says otherwise and Geps is back and forth resulting in near normal.
  19. mitchnick
    I agree, and I'm not worried about temps. We just need an effin' real slp to track west to east below us or up the coast dropping at least 1/2" of qpf. That's what I'm not seeing. If the pattern advertised by the ensembles is so great, the operationals should be full of those threats, but they're not. And I think you'd agree with me on that.
  20. mitchnick
    That just proves his maps are juiced. But it's not worth arguing about since it'll be changing in 7 hours. By the way, I do acknowledge that the flow out of Canada is usually a cold one for us, but interesting nonetheless that it is only slightly BN.
  21. mitchnick
    Don't fret. It's gone on the 6z run.
  22. mitchnick
    0z EPS. Perfect example of too much of a good thing. Lol
  23. mitchnick
    Another "end of the run" tease on the Gfs without an ending.
  24. mitchnick
    It breaks the DT rule with a closed 5H low west of the Mississippi.
  25. mitchnick
    End of Ggem run monster probably would be rain, but we'll never know.
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