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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    2.4" on the dot
  2. mitchnick
    Yes, but if you use the slide function to put the forecast in motion, the cooler waters are making a bee-line east. Should they continue after the end of the forecast period (7/27), you'd probably at least end up with a La Nada next winter, if not a weak Niña imho. I guess the question then is why wouldn't the cooler waters continue east? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=global&pkg=ssta&runtime=2026101100&fh=1
  3. mitchnick
    This is what the 12z Gfs drops after 2pm today.
  4. mitchnick
    I was just out in it. Feel like and old, wet rag. Meanwhile, it continues to pour.
  5. mitchnick
    Probably some torrential downpours to get us to those totals.
  6. mitchnick
    Eps (top) and Eps Aifs hold strong.
  7. mitchnick
    18z Gfs. 18z AI Gfs on the bottom.
  8. mitchnick
    Wow. EPS AIFS
  9. mitchnick
    Yikes! Under the yellow (probably @TSSN+too!) @psuhoffman into the tan!!! Hope it's typical Euro overdone.
  10. mitchnick
    So that is code for you predicting another 2013/14 winter? On an even less serious note, tons of acorns up here, the most in many, many years according to a neighbor who's a life-long Hanover resident in his 70's.
  11. mitchnick
    You just can't get over Pearl Harbor.
  12. mitchnick
    Exhibit A as to why it's being retired.
  13. mitchnick
    You shouldn't be trying to wiggle at your age anyway! (Hi Kettle!!!)
  14. mitchnick
    Yep. I said as much in the MA forum the other day. I know how it rolls down here.
  15. mitchnick
    I agree about the HR hitter coming to bat, but I don't think we can rule out other light or moderate chances with the advertised precip anomalies on all modeling.
  16. mitchnick
    In January, 1979, several of us hiked up to Chimney Rock. I remember I brought a thermometer with me. It was 21 at the top. I specifically recall lamenting while up there about the lack of snow that winter despite the cold. Little did I know that a week or so later we would have 3 snowstorms in a row starting the end of January and culminating with PDI. Oh the memories of a weenie.
  17. mitchnick
    That map I posted was the run-to-run change between September and October Euro seasonal. The actual snowfall anomaly map is above and that shows AN in that location.
  18. mitchnick
    Looks like it's redeveloping to off the coast.
  19. mitchnick
    That makes JI late to the party.
  20. mitchnick
    I thought the "theory" was the rate of change thru the entire month of October.
  21. mitchnick
    Apparently you did.
  22. mitchnick
    This isn't the total snowfall map, but it is the change in snowfall in the October Euro seasonal vs September's run.
  23. mitchnick
    In light of the Euro seasonal snowfall map with the change from last month, higher the better
  24. mitchnick
    Thanks. But it's actually the change from October's run from September's. Going in the right direction for many.
  25. mitchnick
    Euro seasonal latest snowfall change this run vs last courtesy Weather Will in the MA forum. No complaints from me!
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