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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. I don't know. I think we'd still find a way to argue about it!
  2. Fwiw, Nam is the coldest of it, the Euro and Gfs. Euro is a little cooler than half way between the other 2. That's as of 84hrs on the 18z runs.
  3. Good luck up there. You should get an inch maybe? I haven't looked that closely at tonight as I knew I was in line for a participation trophy at best.
  4. 12z Eps snowfall on top and 18z below. I see movement south. Subtle, but it's there.
  5. Quit trying to excite Weather Will like that.
  6. Thanks for the curse. Mediocre Christmas to you!
  7. Gfs 850's on top and Nam below. Notice wind direction too.
  8. 18z Gfs has the 546 height line through northern Baltimore City while the Nam has it just south of DCA. IF the Nam is closer to correct with the cold air draining further south, that's enough to make a difference for some.
  9. I did a total thru 150hrs so some may be from tonight
  10. AIGFS is colder aloft than Gfs fwiw.
  11. I don't want realism realism, I want fantasy!
  12. At 60hrs, 12z gfs height lines are ever so slightly north of 6z. We'll see if that makes a difference.
  13. I got nothing imby for that event. Thanks for ruining my day. Merry Christmas nonetheless!
  14. Gefs have not been great with snowfall this year, and downright lousy at 96+ hrs. This threat may not workout for this forum, but that remains an accurate critique of the Gefs snowfall predictions this year.
  15. 6z Euro came south some, but not far enough. Slams NYC. Nobody's safe with this one before Christmas imho.
  16. Meh...my wife with has a long list of things of things to be pissed off about with me if this doesn't do it.
  17. It did and consistent with the Euro's tendency for slow run-to-run changes. So I can see we'll all be running to the bathroom to check our phones at Christmas gatherings. Lol
  18. The block is legit, but you and I have been screwed so many times over the years with 150hr+ storms and blizzards to not be surprised. It's just different IF this time it works in our favor. But, it is the Gfs, so...
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