mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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For better or for worse, EuroAI has been advertising a return to cold at the end of its recent runs. 6z has a snowstorm just to our north too. Anyway, this would be cold if correct. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026022606&fh=360
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro doesn't look like it will be south. Dry? Can't tell. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
See my post re EuroAI. Lol These models have done nothing but ruin this winter. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
53 years of playing the guitar helped! -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
You know, if you sequence Pop Goes the Weasel music to that, it's almost a perfect match! -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Eps a bit further north this run. Edit: I inserted a new map that was centered 6 hours earlier as it had more than the first. It represents the max 24hr panel on this run. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Great news! You shouldn't take your firing from future pbp's very hard then. J/k Congrats on the biology test. Just don't go out and experiment with what you learned. Lol -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
And with love too. Who said winter doesn't have a heart? And it's coming straight to us from Canada! -
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Extended 9z (C)RAP does bring light precip (.05" or less) through us, but it's rain. Lol
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I know usefulness at this point may be questioned, but here's the 24hr snowfall off 6z runs of Eps and Gefs.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
6z Eps 24hr snowfall at 144hrs. Eps thinks there's something to next week. Probably would have been more if run didn't stop at 144hrs. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not quite my 100 miles, but getting there. Hopefully, not all the way to the EuroAI. Wait, who am I trying to kid here? Lol -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Canadian an inch or 2. Meh -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Central and northern PA at 2'+. Wonder if the Gfs is treating them like it treated us with its early runs for this past weekend. Love to see that come 100 miles south. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
mitchnick replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
0z AIGFS a moderate hit, but total qpf for it hasn't updated yet. Part 2 is weaker and likely has temp issues. -
0z says Gfs had it's 1 win for the year in our back yards, and this isn't going to be number 2.
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Every other model is likewise except the AIGFS clips us vs the flush hit on the Gfs. But I'm thinking we may as well flush the Gfs forecast. Unless you want to bet on the Gfs vs the world.
