mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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It's a moderate hit for most.
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0z Gfs looks to be cooking up something for next weekend. Looks similar, but cooler, than Tuesday 24 hrs before it gets here.
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Expand the Gfs coverage and you have the Euro AI
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Gfs is 6"+ for N MD and PA
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I like the Eps better. Decently below freezing 850's and a swath of snow seemingly headed right for us.
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Surface looks mundane...
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Hey, I'm nearly right smack in the middle of the lighter square in south central PA/MD border to the SW of #46. I'll take it.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mitchnick replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hanover -
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It's been bullish for Tuesday almost from the start. We'll know in a few days if it should be belived in the future.
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Yep, pigs get slaughtered.
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I knew I had seen the surface maps showing surface Highs moving off the coast to our east and NE. I found it. Looks like we may hve to get used to it for the winter if the Euro seasonal is correct. The link below is for the period of Dec-Feb. If you scroll forward to J-M, it's even stronger. As long as we get better cold into the area, we should still have our shots at snow. Next week's problem is only being 3-4 degrees too warm, which is more a function of the early season. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_standard_mslp?area=NAME&base_time=202511010000&stats=ensm&valid_time=202512020000
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I'm interested is seeing whether the Euro's snowy start to the run will continue to the end as it often seems to do.
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Filet-of-sole...and heel!
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Your head should be in good shape then!
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mitchnick replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm having some serious doubts for mby. I need a cooling trend to start if not today, definitely by tomorrow. -
Seems a wee bit aggressive for so early in the season in light of the se'ly flow.
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I mistakenly loaded the Euro AI totals for the 360hr run, so I deleted it. Here are the 0z and 6z for just Tuesday.
