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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Nah. Gem completely crushes round 2. That trough in Canada is a monster as modeled. Unless things change, fugetaboutit.
  2. Gem might have a better shot at round 2.
  3. It's the Gfs. It'll be different in 6 hrs
  4. The trough in se Canada looks crushing
  5. I feel like we've gotten the band back together.
  6. That's likely why our storm gets pushed east unfortunately.
  7. Solid run? Maybe some chunks, but solid?
  8. Gfs isn't interested in anything over the next week+ unfortunately except for a fast, compressed flow.
  9. You're right. Rule of thumb should always be disregard anything past its 78 hour wheelhouse.
  10. I was just looking at that thinking ain't it always the case.
  11. Yeah, but it almost looks like there's something behind the Friday system. Nam map is just a mall parking lot during Christmas Eve.
  12. Srefs at the end of their recent run. This is just 24hr precip. You can check out other stuff at this Pivotal link. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_024h-mean-imp&rh=2025120215&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  13. Hopefully we can score in this pattern before the warmup hits at the end of both the Eps and Gefs. Looks to cool off again post 360hrs, but who knows what kind of pattern we'll be given.
  14. Just remember that the 12z Gfs showed this snowfall that was supposed to fall today after 7am. South of Harrisburg was pretty much a bust and York got 95%+ rain according to a York poster vs the 3.6" the Gfs forecasted.
  15. And in classic BWI form, it failed for us too. Lol
  16. Well, cancel the dry trend, at least for this one. Definitely. 5"+ qpf up here.
  17. Back edge moving fast this way and is now just east of Hancock, MD. Can't end soon enough.
  18. Rain and sleet now...you ain't missin' a thing.
  19. Back to mainly snow, but not really accumulating. Just maintaining my whopping 1/2" coating.
  20. My sky is getting that dark, snow sky as % of snow increases. Probably temporary, but maybe slp is winding up and dropping pressures and temps. Idk
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