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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. GfsAI has the storm but a touch warmer than op. Hard to tell on the TT rudimentary maps.
  2. Just gunna say. Not exactly like the Euro, but a big change from 12z that had nada.
  3. Lt snow but coming down plentifully.
  4. Same here except for random flurries until 3 or 4 minutes ago. Very light snow now.
  5. What's this....the 8th modeled snowstorm on the AI thus season? Hard to get excited at this point. But we hope.
  6. Hey...1990's! My youth! I missed it then, so don’t take it from me now.
  7. Obviously, something fell before that panel which means probably a start as snow. Once you get to the red doted line, you're likely losing some part of mid levels.
  8. My 2 cent opinion is that this Nina's last gasp of strong trades (blue on this map for those unfamiliar) is occurring and will remain until the end of February. That will make it difficult, if not unlikely, to squeeze in anything greater than a 2-4" event (if anything) imho. Come March, Niño conditions will finally overpower the Niña. Whether we can get everything to align (cold and qpf) is too early to say.
  9. GfsAI has a storm for next Sunday. Looks snow to rain, then back to snow as low travels through N VA.
  10. We still have another couple weeks of Niña trade winds to fook any chances of getting Niño benefits. That's just the way it works around here unfortunately.
  11. I'm getting the feeling that is their tendency. Anyone know or remember how they looked during periods where ops and ensembles were void of threats?
  12. Last night's 0z Euro at 198hrs on top and 12z 186hrs on the bottom. Wtf has happened to the Euro?
  13. AI ends the run with another trough in the east, but no snow unfortunately.
  14. Got it. With the Pacific seemingly opening up, the models are going to have their hands full with vorts shooting all over the Conus, so I have low confidence in any model, moreso than usual.
  15. And it looks to get interesting with the Pacific starting to chip into the mix.
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