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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    This link has it from the Cfs2 around 2/3's down the page. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html There's also a link above the 850 forecast for additional info: https://ncics.org/portfolio/monitor/mjo/
  2. mitchnick
    That's a crazy list of analog years with no rhyme or reason if you just consider Enso.
  3. mitchnick
    Where? What period? F or C? Snowfall forecast? Not that details matter in a weather forecast.
  4. mitchnick
    For someone allegedly concerned about cc, you and the rest of the worry warts sure seem to revel in the warmth. Lol
  5. mitchnick
    What was their prediction at this point for last winter if you know?
  6. mitchnick
    Just under 2" in 25 minutes and more to come.
  7. mitchnick
    Crushed up here right now. Noah said he'd be back to get me, but he didn't have change for a 20.
  8. mitchnick
    You haven't visited the Mid Atlantic lately, have you?
  9. mitchnick
    It's been waxing and waning since February came into view. If you go to the actual Cfs2 site and check out the monthly forecasts, it's a little colder than what the TT site shows due to different time periods. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2seasonal.shtml
  10. mitchnick
    I'm not at 40N, but with being at 39.92N, I've experienced 1 AN snowfall here since 2019. 20/21 was it. 21/22 BWI beat me as I totally missed the 1/22 event. Basically, the Niñas, save 1, have been better to my E and NE, while the 23/24 Niño sucked for all.
  11. mitchnick
    Big, early departures may result in an ugly monthly + anomaly, but once it flips and gets cold enough for snowfall, who cares!!! February will be knocking on the door.
  12. mitchnick
    WxBell winter forecast and discussion. I think the maps were previously posted, but maybe not the discussion with analogs. https://www.weatherbell.com/winter-2026-27-preview
  13. mitchnick
    It's a 3 month average and Cfs2 is showing on the monthly forecasts that December's a dumpster fire and February looks workable to great. So you're going to get goofy 3 month averages.
  14. mitchnick
    Bad guess! There's no 500mb map on this site, but 700mb will be close enough at this point.
  15. mitchnick
    Maybe due to monster GOA Low.
  16. mitchnick
    Mts seem to be beating the line up a bit.
  17. mitchnick
    That question has been tossed around for weeks over in the main El Niño thread. I think we in the MA have started to see it with increased precip over the last month, but there's no evidence of it yet on a larger scale. Rest assured, it's coming...for better or worse.
  18. mitchnick
    Still rising slowly.
  19. mitchnick
    Lots of warming to go on the Cfs2 850 anomalies, but it looks like the beginning of the end come early November.
  20. mitchnick
    He's in south Texas and has been real dry lately. Different perspective from his former residence in N Virginia.
  21. mitchnick
    We can't get Oisst and Coral Reefs to agree on SST/SSTA's on current conditions NOW, and we're supposed to believe numbers from 100+ years ago? They're just salesmen.
  22. mitchnick
    Yep. Easy to make a claim when there's no way to know its accuracy. But it's great for clicks!
  23. mitchnick
    Just wait until they leave the house to get married.
  24. mitchnick
    Those people living atop Pigeon Hills will be having a banner winter I'm sure. Problem is they don't get great plowing up there, and when they do, there's only a lane and a half cleared. At least, that's been my experience when I've gone up there checking snowfall amounts. But PSU should do equally as well.
  25. mitchnick
    Intellectual humility has always been my strong point as I'm always humiliating myself in board discussions. So I'm with you there!
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