mitchnick
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Very tight gradient on Euro. Scarily tight. Lol -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro better -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Geez....5 degrees at Big Meadows on Skyline Drive this time of day. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's a snowy run. Love to see the maps. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well if it's light with precip and precip does provide some dynamic cooling, that might rectify the desparity between it and the models that changeover 1 or 2 hours later. But what do I know, I'm just trying to get a head start in life post retirement. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
My sister, half way between Richmond and Williamsburg, is currently getting rimed flakes (mini snowballs as she described them.) Her current NWS forecast is for snow to start before 3am tonight with no mention of precip during the day today. Anyway, radar is all lit up over VA moving west to east with some dark echoes over her in SE VA. Does seem ahead of schedule. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
No GGEM or RGEM, but the Geps updated and here's it's snowfall. Not bad folks. EDIT: Obviously includes sleet at 10:1 -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
They're a violent bunch. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Problem I'm seeing on all the worst modeling is that the primary is in TN, the models show weak low pressure off the coast, but a refusal of the primary to die and transfer it's energy to the coastal. Instead, the primary survives, pumping in warm air aloft as it slowly moves east, and once it makes to the coast it dumps on ENE and our precip has shut off. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Don't know. Sorry. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gfs snowfall is around twice of Nams. If that's a fold, I'll take it every day. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gfs laughs at Nams -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gfs decent thru 7am -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
The precip shield makes it look like one big warm front. Maybe that's all it is for us. Lol -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
It delays the change in DC until between 11 and 12, but has the same or less snow due to less qpf. Problem is, with the qpf comes the warmth. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
mitchnick replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Insufficient blocking allows it to be pushed out as fast as it came in.
