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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Very tight gradient on Euro. Scarily tight. Lol
  2. mitchnick
    Euro
  3. mitchnick
    Euro better
  4. mitchnick
    Euro AI
  5. mitchnick
    Rap new run
  6. mitchnick
    Geez....5 degrees at Big Meadows on Skyline Drive this time of day.
  7. mitchnick
    That's a snowy run. Love to see the maps.
  8. mitchnick
    Kuchera better and makes sense with higher ratios to start.
  9. mitchnick
    Well if it's light with precip and precip does provide some dynamic cooling, that might rectify the desparity between it and the models that changeover 1 or 2 hours later. But what do I know, I'm just trying to get a head start in life post retirement.
  10. mitchnick
    My sister, half way between Richmond and Williamsburg, is currently getting rimed flakes (mini snowballs as she described them.) Her current NWS forecast is for snow to start before 3am tonight with no mention of precip during the day today. Anyway, radar is all lit up over VA moving west to east with some dark echoes over her in SE VA. Does seem ahead of schedule. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  11. mitchnick
    No GGEM or RGEM, but the Geps updated and here's it's snowfall. Not bad folks. EDIT: Obviously includes sleet at 10:1
  12. mitchnick
    They're a violent bunch.
  13. mitchnick
  14. mitchnick
    Euro Ai fwiw
  15. mitchnick
  16. mitchnick
    Problem I'm seeing on all the worst modeling is that the primary is in TN, the models show weak low pressure off the coast, but a refusal of the primary to die and transfer it's energy to the coastal. Instead, the primary survives, pumping in warm air aloft as it slowly moves east, and once it makes to the coast it dumps on ENE and our precip has shut off.
  17. mitchnick
    Don't know. Sorry.
  18. mitchnick
    It is. Here's the Rap currently updating out to 5pm
  19. mitchnick
    Then there's always the FV3.
  20. mitchnick
    Gfs snowfall is around twice of Nams. If that's a fold, I'll take it every day.
  21. mitchnick
    Gfs laughs at Nams
  22. mitchnick
    Gfs decent thru 7am
  23. mitchnick
    The precip shield makes it look like one big warm front. Maybe that's all it is for us. Lol
  24. mitchnick
    It delays the change in DC until between 11 and 12, but has the same or less snow due to less qpf. Problem is, with the qpf comes the warmth.
  25. mitchnick
    Insufficient blocking allows it to be pushed out as fast as it came in.
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