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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    DC is a good bit north of the 546 height lines for sleet vs usual. Gotta be ultra shallow layer at that point.
  2. mitchnick
    Icon Icon drops another 3-4" this week too!
  3. mitchnick
    Don't know if it's too early for sat pics, but this has an expansive view of the Conus+. https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/large
  4. mitchnick
    I haven't, but I can't say I go out socializing very much. Lol I was at the Walmart last night and they literally did not have 1 gallon of milk left and shelves were half to completely empty.
  5. mitchnick
    Well, 9z Srefs are colder and snowier than 3z for areas at and north of Fredericksburg; southern extent tightened up a bit. We take anything that shows improvement no matter how small. Just a reminder to those who may not know, Srefs are an ensemble product and not a seperate model.
  6. mitchnick
    In case you were wondering, or not, 6z GGEM colder with lots of 10" (light orange) and 12" (dark orange) thru the metro areas. EDIT: This is 10:1 ratios. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
  7. mitchnick
    Feeling better with overnight runs. Starting....juuuust startin', to get that 13/14 vibe when things really did get colder or otherwise improve as crunch time approached.
  8. mitchnick
    Frankly, there's plenty of time for this to trend, one way or the other. Admittedly, it's sad to see how, in general terms, it's turning into an old fashioned "Niña north" event. For that reason, odds favor a slow trend north imho. Maybe this one will be different. I hope. Either way, I'm done for the evening.
  9. mitchnick
    It's called: Euro They should have waited, but at least they corrected it quickly.
  10. mitchnick
    Don't buy that one.
  11. mitchnick
    Nams a touch cooler at 48hrs with heights down a touch.
  12. mitchnick
    Actually, really, really close to these old eyes. Generally speaking, of course.
  13. mitchnick
    That's thru Sunday 6pm only
  14. mitchnick
    That shouldn't be the case based on those maps.
  15. mitchnick
    We should, except for maybe 2-3 hours of mix worst case. Being conservative obviously.
  16. mitchnick
    That's pretty good.
  17. mitchnick
    Accurate enough for us not to want them to have posted it.
  18. mitchnick
    Are you posting from Reston, VA or a rest home in Virginia?
  19. mitchnick
    Comparing 15z Srefs 78hr snowfall total to 9z Srefs 84hr snowfall total. 15Z IS BETTER!!!
  20. mitchnick
    Eps fwiw at this point. Pretty consistent if nothing else.
  21. mitchnick
    Go to any 7-11 and make yourself a large cup of crushed ice.
  22. mitchnick
    It'll crush Altoona once inside 48 hours. Lol
  23. mitchnick
    Not out yet, but maybe be getting past usefulness at this range.
  24. mitchnick
    Once Pivotal catches up, they have sounding plots by clicking on the location. That may be pay only, but they are only $99/year or $10-$12/month.
  25. mitchnick
    Looooooooong duration. Now that that is locked in, we work on thermals.
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