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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Let's hope not too much of a typically good thing.
  2. Euro blew chunks with the 23/24 forecast thru the fall of 2023. Interestingly, Cfs2 forecast starting mid 9/23 was warm and not canonical Niño. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/cfsv2_fcst_history/202309/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html
  3. Maybe @Weather Will can post some of the monthly maps when he gets a chance.
  4. For coastal locations, it'll be harder for snow, but it'll still be dependent on exact track and surface High locations. But if the precip forecasts from all the seasonal modeling are correct, there will at least be a lot of chances. If nothing else, it won't be a boring winter.
  5. Updated Euro seasonal. A touch warmer for the winter months by around .5C. Still wet. Link to everything off this run. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]}
  6. Link for everything on Euro seasonal https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]}
  7. Updated Euro a touch warmer this run. DJF and JFM T2.
  8. You should post that over in the main Enso thread. You're sure to make lots of friends.
  9. I have children and grandchildren. Still don't worry about it. Like I said, too many other things imho that are going to "get us." lol
  10. I neither care nor worry about it. Plenty of other more important things in this world imho.
  11. I don't deny earth's warming. I just don't believe it's the end of the world or unusual.
  12. Fortunately, for those interested in the winter, it covers the smallest area and sits south of the equator but for the northern border bounded by it. Hence, at this point, whether it exceeds current max records or not, it won't have much to say for winter in the east compared to the other areas. So yeah, let's get the record this year.
  13. And there's something wrong with that?
  14. Before I got the place here in fall 2019, it did pretty well with Niñas and always substantially better than BWI. Showmethesnow used to routinely humiliate BWI totals. But that changed after I moved here except for 20/21.
  15. I haven't had an AN snowfall season since 20/21. I'm needing this one bad.
  16. The Cansips released 9/1/26 was snowy fwiw.
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