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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Lol Lwx puts out WS Watches. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/
  2. Let them be wrong so they can be rightfully trolled.
  3. 18z Ggem has the stripe of higher qpf along the southern tier.
  4. Yeah, but interestingly the Gfs snowfall maps on Pivotal don't reflect the additional qpf.
  5. 18z Icon ensembles show the stripe of highest qpf along the southern tier of PA, which is what the operational runs showed before the 18z run.
  6. Yeah, I knew the n/s line was the mountain ridge, but figured you were close enough.
  7. Eps. 10:1, so you should figure that in too since ratios should be a bit better.
  8. 12z Euro just misses us to the south with that storm showing up at 180hrs from now on the Icon and Ggem. Plenty of time for adjustment.
  9. Pivotal not as generous, but a keeper nonetheless.
  10. Ggem has the Pivotal storm headed toward us, but is warmer to start with cold air lagging. Icon has a shot, if closer to being accurate, to be a decent hit imho.
  11. I like the look on the 180hrs Icon map. EDIT: GFS is on its own. Toss.
  12. That's why I stick to what the best degreed mets use exclusively...snowfall maps!
  13. The only way to know for certain is if the sim radar option is offered. On Pivotal, USA products have sim radar but other models don't. Maybe WB or weathermodels.com offers them, idk.
  14. Nam holds onto the precip longer by pulling in some ocean moisture. Methinks that's a sign of future qpf increases.
  15. Hrrr early on putting southern tier of PA as the bullseye per this progged radar. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2024021512&fh=35&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  16. 6z Eps expanded 3"+ area with a dot of 3.5 over Bubbler!
  17. Maybe March has a reasonable shot at a fluke.
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