mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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At 105hrs on 0z, Gfs trough a touch weaker than 18z fwiw.
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18z Gefs is a bit better on snowfall fwiw than 12z.
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12/6 2-4"+ on Gfs
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At 120hrs, we're all still in the game. That's really all that can be taken at this point, and that's a decent place to be for a 12/2 threat.
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Could be, idk yet. You may be further ahead of me.
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At 126hrs, there's a surface High of 1029 in northern Iowa that wasn't ther at 12z. That's good.
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Still stronger at 123 hrs which is translating to a better precip shield than 12z
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At 114hrs, 18z Gfs vort is stronger than 12z fwiw.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mitchnick replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I feel cheated. -
2-4"
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Euro has 12/5 storm
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Ots
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Trough is more progressive
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Euro looks south of 0z early on.
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It's like watching commercials for Vegas when everybody wins on every spin!
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Yep...ots
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Ukie looks to be too strong with the High.
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Ggem is a light event
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I just had to do it!
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Icon is close enough for this range.
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You just beat me! I saw the same thing. Decent cold too. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025112612&fh=120
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Absolutely. And wrt the 850's, the 6z now has that classic drainage down the eastern side of the Apps that was missing at 0z.
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Heisey! Don't be a stranger and be sure to let us know HM's thoughts as we get closer.
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Actually, I mentioned that last night. No way I'll let a classic weenie stand-by be forgotten. BUT, there some truth to that on occasion.
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6z Gfs total run....lol
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