About time it turned around meaningfully. I said the other day that the shortwave wouldn't hit the nw Pac coast until 6z Saturday and to expect a honing in at that point. No excuses from now on. Hopefully, 12z follows the 6z trend across all the models.
Sounds like I should be prepared for a cluster f___! Lol
Honestly, I just saw the new Srefs and they are just as great as the last run. I don't recall such a discrepancy between 2 schools of thought. Something has got to give, but it won't be tonight! Good night and thanks for your input on the Board.
Looking at the trend on the new Eps, assuming Euro thinking is correct, it's really hard to think I'll see more than an inch up here. Heck, even the old home north of BWI is around 4" now.
We have 8, maybe 9, more model cycles after 0z between now and the first flakes fall. We don't need much more qpf with temps, so 6"+ is more than doable unless everything suddenly finds it's way to the terlet.
Icon ftw at 180hrs even if falls Monday.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2025010400&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1