mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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AI really has been the evil twin of the Euro. But I haven't seen it show a bomb that hits us like the 2/24 storm on this run fwiw. At this range, I would still favor the operationals and their ensembles.
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Well if next week fails, we have this to fail. Lol
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This isn't even all the qpf. It's in the 1-2" qpf. Again, there's more.
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BUT Sunday 2/24 is a HUGE HIT!
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Ughhh 6z AI offshore
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Yeah, I hadn't looked at the Eps. 144hrs precip field is definitely east of 0z, but the slp is south of 0z which suggests a bit slower. Otoh, the tpv is east of 0z by a good bit. The question is whether with the tpv further east, would the precip field have been pulled west some.
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6z a little slower than 0z and definitely further west. 700mb Fgen
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Ok, let's not start dreaming up ways to fail.
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It does. 700mb RH 0z vs 6z
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I think you want Rehoboth, DE. Less mix.
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Canadians pretty aggressive with accumulating snow down in the southern tier on Saturday. They did do well with the 1/20 storm thermals so... Gem, which is 2-3" per 5-7.5mm: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off Rgem with 1-2+"
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No way it holds, but it was a pleasant evening. G'nite. Lol
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It comes out at 6:15. Go to sleep now and get up.
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NO
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Be needy, not greedy. Pigs get slaughtered.
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I called it.
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I think it's going to be OK actually.
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Still snowing hard.
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Ukie
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This is just the storm while the other map was everything for all 168hrs.
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They all want to lean east like all season with only 1 exception.
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Still slightly favored east, but I'll take it in a heartbeat.
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Ukmet should be good.
