mitchnick

Eps snow mean jumped by almost 4" vs 0z run. Lol

Wow!

It wasn't out yet on Pivotal.

Euro AI has been hitting it hard in that time frame for multiple runs now.

12z Euro has a Blizzard next weekend. Just sayin'. Next as in 1/5

BLIZZ....EURO

Regarding February, I noticed something on the Euro weeklies. If you go to the link below, which is Arctic 2M temps, and progress through the weeks, keep an eye on the sw coast of Canada. As you get to week 2, you can see warm temps being replaced with average and BN temps, then that colder area expands and slides SE into the Plains. some BN and normal come week 3. Week 4, the normal temps weaken to a little warmer than normal, followed by week 5 and it is AN. But then at week 6, and here's my point, the AN temps are replaced with normal temps and the whole process from earlier in the run "appears thru these weenie eyes," to be getting ready to repeat. One difference I see is that instead of large areas of both BN and AN temps on the other side of the Pole at week 1, there's mainly normal temps. Effects if I'm "somehow " correct with the repeat pattern idea, I don't know. But my weenie brain says normal temps across the Poles come the end of January are cold vs recent years, and that would maintain seasonal, if not BN, cold. This could all change with today's or future runs as there's plenty of time for that, but that area in sw Canada grabbed my attention. Of course, if the cooling is simply from the ridge decaying, that would likely negate my thoughts. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202412210000&projection=opencharts_arctic&valid_time=202502030000

If we don't ALL score in January with AN snow totals, I'll be more shocked and pissed than all of the last 3 winters combined.

6z Euro just came in with over running snows late Christmas night into the 26th for the "usual spots" so far this year.

I know. Just bustin' chops. I've probably posted more than you in my weenie career, trust me. Lol

6z Gfs say Merry Christmas to many. Just don't count on it. Yeah, I'm talking to you Bliz! Lol P.s. No, Mt. Joy, you're not still drunk.

Can't we just guess? All in good faith, of course.

Odds of maintaining a +PNA in January are increasing. @GaWx

Who do you get to sign your passport? I gotta' guy...

QUIT STALKING MEEEEEEEeeee!!!!!!

Right atop my cold, d@mn heart.

Snow is accumulating here. Right under a streamer.

Snow showers here now.

What's the unofficial number so I can be thoroughly humiliated?

Yep. That was around the time as one of those storms on last night's Cfs I posted earlier today. That 700mb RH map is wonderfully savory.

Don't you just hate those people that say "I sure wish the Gfs went out beyond 384 hrs?"

I have been on the western edge of it all day with snow since before 8am. But thanks to a spike in temps during light lulls, it warmed to 34 so I have snow on the grass but not 100% coverage. Still missing a real accumulation this year. But, light snow continues as the end is very near and it remains beautiful and festive for the season.

Probably should include the -PDO along with everything else.

Lol! Ain't that the truth.

Se here. No accumulations in the grass around Eisenhower due to traffic heat I suppose. But grass has an accumulation once into residential areas.