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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    66hrs on Cansips has the Atlantic 50/50 shrinking from prior runs and vort in the west is a touch west.
  2. mitchnick
    Actually, except for that 1 jog south, it's a surprisingly steady shift north.
  3. mitchnick
    Northern peeps. 18z Ukie!!!!
  4. mitchnick
    I don't follow him but read what's posted here, and he seems to glomm on to the most recent model trends and acts like he knew it was coming all along. I find that hard to believe of him personally.
  5. mitchnick
    Last couple of days were warm before the hammer drops. They're hoping people just gaze into the TV with a blank stare thinking "yeah, he's right...it's been warm", completely forgetting the other 27 or 28 days of the month. Sadly, there will be people who do just that.
  6. mitchnick
    I had snow on the ground every day in February 2021. Nice procession of 3-5" storms after the bigger one to start the month. Unfortunately, winters here have been very disappointing since. I was hoping that would change this month.
  7. mitchnick
    I can do carve outs!
  8. mitchnick
    Keep it coming man. Not that other red taggers haven't done it since, but your discussion brought me back to 12/09 & 2/10 when CoastalWx came into the Mid Atlantic thread on Eastern before those storms and talked dirty about both impending blizzards.
  9. mitchnick
    Mean
  10. mitchnick
    You should have a redder tag.
  11. mitchnick
    Oooohhhh kayyyyyy....
  12. mitchnick
    Looking at that map a 2nd time, you can have 25 miles.
  13. mitchnick
    Nope
  14. mitchnick
    I should have added that as a result of the stronger vort, slp at 18z vs 12z wldropped from 999 to 997 at 109hrs.
  15. mitchnick
    18z Euro has the western edge of the Atlantic gyre moviing further east starting noticeably around 78hrs. Whether that's due to weakening or just pulling east, it's hard to tell. Plus it has a 540 closed low over Missouri at 102hrs vs 543 on the 12z. The results of both are likely the reasons, or at least some of them.
  16. mitchnick
    That too. Anything to get it off the Massachusetts coast a little faster or weaken it some. We're sorta left relying on the old model biases of strengthening blocking too much at this range. Not a great position to be in.
  17. mitchnick
    On the 1 hand we need the 50/50 strong enough to thwart cutters as was showing up previously on modeling. But now, it's so strong and slow moving that it's shredding decent systems (look at all the snow west of the mts every model keeps showing.) The Atlantic is backed up like a morning after a T-bone steak. I think the best case, which we have no control over, is a weaker 50/50 because we still need it, just not as strong.
  18. mitchnick
    We may do better on Friday than Monday.
  19. mitchnick
    So tiring and frustrating.
  20. mitchnick
    Ocean trough is moving out a little quicker by 78 hrs fwiw
  21. mitchnick
    Just saw that on Pivotal and was surprised. Modeling the past couple of days looked better in MD. Now the HRRR and at least 1 other I believe is saying -rnsh instead of snow.
  22. mitchnick
    Geps. Snowfall and odds of 4" or more. P.s. Friday clipper .1" in PA and .2" in MD.
  23. mitchnick
    At this point, they're up and down and will likely be that way until Saturday since the vort reaches the Pacific coast Friday night.
  24. mitchnick
    Ughh. Just lost power.
  25. mitchnick
    That is one vigorous s/w on the Euro at 105hrs. It starts to weaken after that thanks to the block. If that block as currently progged is a hair weaker, it's going to make a big difference for all, and mostly good imho.
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