mitchnick

Never mind. 5H trough

Is that an inverted trough on the Icon giving us that snow? I think so. Doesn't look like a norlun.

Ninja'd But my map caters to us oldsters.

Icon ftw again!

I hope you let someone know where you're going. Your parents will be worried sick.

MJO forecasts seemingly stalled the wave yesterday, but progression on most modeling is back to moving the wave into 7 and maybe 8. http://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/mjo_phase.html But looking back at some of the MJO forecasts I downloaded in November, we should have been in Phase 7 by today! Lol

It doesn't matter much at this point, but Pivotal has added 6z and 18z Ukie runs.

Icon still on its own, but there...somewhat.

Thank you. Lol. I tried to get my account deleted too back in 2017, but no dice. Once they get you, they got you...during and after life!

The sobering fact is that this month is -4 and has AN precip, but next to no snow. Obviously, January is colder, but I still think the shape of the trough holds our fate.

I should have added, Icon is on its own.

Have to take things into my own hands I guess. Lol

Where's Bliz with the Icon maps?

Do you have a 2nd home in Hanover?

My concern is precip. Freebie maps look dry during the colder weeks. D@mn STJ is Mia thanks to Niña. Also, we need the trough axis to be more conducive for passing short waves under us versus what we've had and then redevelop with Atlantic moisture, or it's dry when cold. Hate to sound picky, but it has been 4 years since a 6"+ snow storm.

Then what about all the other times? Lol

There's a guy in a house a few down from me that's always blowing leaves out of his yard. Drives his immediate neighbors crazy. So we just got finished getting a 10 minute or so downpour and he was out there blowing leaves. Rain stops and a minute later he stops blowing. Add on top of that it's dark outside. Just crazy. You'd think he'd at least check the radar first.

Just because you forced their hand to post a snow measurement, doesn't mean you can now strong arm them into a fog advisory.

It's just the Gefs doing that. You get those crazy RMM forecasts more often with ensembles because it's a mean, so a couple goofy members skew the mean.

That s_w north of Montana wasn't there on runs with the decent results last week. Plus, maybe acting as an unwanted kicker. Idk

Last comment. The whole forcing issue began when I posted a 360 hr Eps map showing that it has forcing will be entirely in the E-Pac. It wasn't directed at anyone in particular. Go back and look, but you said I can't use single periods and that I had to use 7 day maps and it went from there. I never attacked you personally nor questioned motivations, but you did. It's called vigorous debate and my points were valid and apparently correct enough for you to feel compelled to accuse me of going "gotcha." Now I'm the cause of people not posting here? You're kidding me, right?

Now it's time for the "I'm better than you" cheap shots. Lol You are way too transparent with your glib posts. It's obvious you are having a problem with forcing moving into the E-Pac. I guess it goes againt your forecast or agenda, idk. It is odd though. Modeling shows it happening, whether you look at individual hourly forecast panels or 7 day. Enjoy it.

Hmm, just about to respond to your last post, but it's been deleted. But I know what you said and in light of the JMA, why it was deleted. Anyway, Euro using your, I'll call it, "preferred" method from last night's run (7 day average), has diminished almost all forcing from W-Pac. Attached are last night's 0z (top) and Saturday night's (middle). While using the 360 hrs panel (bottom) alone (there being no reason not to), continues to show all forcing in the E-Pac.

-rn here