mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Yeah...right. What else could you say.
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You're re-posting Cohen when he posts a 384 hr Gfs operational map because it supports your warmanista agenda? Oye
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Been a while since I've seen this ensemble prediction in a December with Enso 3.4 hovering at -.5C.
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I'm just too far south at this point. The 10:1 maps won't verify either.
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I am soooo tired of being on the edge of accumulating snow. Ughh Need more trending.
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Whatever happens before Christmas thru the NY, weeklies are and have been (as Larry posted earlier), adamant with parking a trough over or near the GL insuring at least average temps for the bulk of January in the central and eastern Conus. And that WILL feel cold after the past few years.
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Warmth is on the weeklies with the week starting 12/23, so there seems to be a bit of a conflict with the Eps.
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The way winters have hone recently, you just may be rushing the warmth. It's been hard to fight it.
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One caveat on above is we don't want northern stream to drop too far south out to our west or it's a GL special.
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I like Euro shift from 0z to 6z. Colder as a result too.
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Squall coming thru now. Looks like a tropical storm with strong winds and rain.
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10mb forecast maps on Gfs, Gefs, Gem, Geps, and Cfs are all indicating some hits over the next 2 weeks. But I don't think they constitute a major SSW. But maybe a precursor? Idk.
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I'm in Towson and it's headed right for me.
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Winds just shifted to the North, but rain is now torrential.
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Yeah, this map would get my attention if I traded NG futures despite being at the end of the run. P.s. there is cold before this, but not to this degree
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Yeah, I think we see some, but no big deal. Probably a Pivotal issue and not Gefs.
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Gefs continue to embarrass.
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God love you.
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https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Extended (42 days)"]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
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Cfs thinks February will be Nino'ish with NN/BN temps across the northern tier into the MA and way AN precip. It's vacilated over recent weeks on February temps, but very consistent on AN precip. Before the peanut gallery feels compelled to curse me, I'm the messenger and not the programmer. Lol
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50-51 in Hamover Rye, PA
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That's the 1 I was referring to. Thanks
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Where is Bliz with the Euro maps?
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12z Gefs increased snowfall from 6z. Lol
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Nothing incredible, but the Nam twins are starting to like some accumulations thru the area, with the 3k surprisingly better than Papa Nam.
