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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Gfs goes Blizzard at 294 hrs, but favoring eastern locations.
  2. Funny thing is, although the Gem looked pretty good at 12z, as recently as the 0z Thursday run it showed a squashed whiff like the Ukie, Gfs and likely 18z Icon would show. Should have stayed the course instead of going dark.
  3. Cmc as recently as Thursday's 0z showed nothing for Thanksgiving. May have been the first to be right only to go dark before maybe correcting again. Hope not.
  4. 12z Ukie had it squashed in a fast W'ly flow too and now the 18z Gfs and Icon (probably, looking at its 120 hr run) as well. Next up, 18z Euro.
  5. Just a few "minor" adjustments to the Gfs over the last 3 runs. Lol
  6. Lol 18z Gfs joins the too cold squashed club. Ughh
  7. Just checked Icon at 120 hrs and it's colder, but stops early this run. Maybe a nod to Ukie and AIEuro, idk. That 50/50 Low is growing into a monster, so maybe it is a crusher. We'll see.
  8. There's an inch over central and southern PA at 42 hrs on the mean and 2" at 198 hrs. So a mean of 1" for next weekend potential is not great. But I did just check for the first time this winter the AIEuro and it misses is pretty far south, further than the Ukie. So it's just wait and see until Monday when we have a little better consensus.
  9. Climo is getting colder, so we're still good in absolute terms 15 days out.
  10. Better put your car in the garage or put the top down.
  11. It's getting there. Ukie is a bit suppressed and cold enough for all snow for all of PA. Good spot this far out on the Ukie imho. Great 12z runs imho considering we're 6 +/- days away.
  12. I had a friend who was an artist and got 10 years with one stroke of the pen...nyuk, nyuk, nyuk
  13. I'd a had 1-2" by now if it wasn't 35 degrees outside with a 45 ground temp.
  14. Keep watching. It's just a matter of time and imagination.
  15. I had 3 years of French in elementary school, 3 years in high school, and 2 semesters in college, and the best I can do now is conjugate a few verbs. Lol
  16. Gem a bit north for us southerners, but OK at this point.
  17. Check out Binghamton radar. Time sensitive. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=BGM-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  18. Some snow on mulch grass and roofs, but not complete coverage. 35 per car.
  19. Gfs a just a miss to the south rain event...just where we want it!
  20. Icon on board for next week for a 4-6" type event north of MD line or so.
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