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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Ocean trough is moving out a little quicker by 78 hrs fwiw
  2. Just saw that on Pivotal and was surprised. Modeling the past couple of days looked better in MD. Now the HRRR and at least 1 other I believe is saying -rnsh instead of snow.
  3. Geps. Snowfall and odds of 4" or more. P.s. Friday clipper .1" in PA and .2" in MD.
  4. At this point, they're up and down and will likely be that way until Saturday since the vort reaches the Pacific coast Friday night.
  5. That is one vigorous s/w on the Euro at 105hrs. It starts to weaken after that thanks to the block. If that block as currently progged is a hair weaker, it's going to make a big difference for all, and mostly good imho.
  6. A late save by the Ukie for northern folks. Congrats to all for playing.
  7. Ukie is faster with our s/w, giving Atlantic system time to hang around longer
  8. 12z Ukie height lines are further north than 0z at 102hrs.
  9. with that monster trough off the east coast, we'll need it there to pull it north
  10. Hi Bob. Congrats! What's ur elevation and Smith mtn? Are there roads over it to weenie out in marginal events? Lol
  11. Someone who saw the individual members said the the 6z run lost the misses to the south of DC/BWI and increased misses to the north of them. That's good for us if it was only a day or 2 out, but concerning at 4-5 days as we are.
  12. That clipper part of the problem as it merges with the storm offshore to potentially shunt our snow threat. So do me a favor and never remind me of it again!
  13. I detect some meteorological sarcasm in the question. Lol
  14. Believe me, I remain totally paranoid on this one as a miss for all of us remains a viable option at 4-5 days out.
  15. Right now, that sounds right. But with 4-5 days to go and ensembles moving north (though not posted, 6z Gefs moved north and had our latitude as bullseye), much can change.
  16. I added the north trend here because if I was back in the DC/BWI area, I wouldn't need anyone from a different forum rubbing that in my face. I do believe there will be a limit to the northern extent, but where that is nobody knows at this point. Notwithstanding, my gut says that somebody in NVA will be the jackpot location east of the Blue Ridge.
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