mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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On 2nd thought, it's probably just lag time for surface to catch up to air temp. Though, sometimes it could be snow cover too.
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Surface temps are cooler than 2m temps. Sometimes, it's the other way around. Snow cover? Idk Don't mind me, I worry about the well being of snakes in the grass.
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We have a decent breeze here.
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Per Pivotal Geps, the warmup in the MA & SE is not that much compared to Gefs and Eps, with the largest AN anomalies along the US border. Possible the Canadians sold the Wall Street folks a subscription? Lol https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cmceens&p=sfct_anom-p105090-imp&rh=2024121700&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 P.s. I have a Pivotal subscription, but I think the Geps are available on the free site if you don't.
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Yep. Canadian dry as a bone.
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Gfs is trying with scattered -snsh.
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Icon has been on its own for 3 runs in a row. That's the most runs in a row this year that any model has given me accumulating snow. So it's consistency will either be it's virtue or downfall.
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Never mind. 5H trough
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Is that an inverted trough on the Icon giving us that snow? I think so. Doesn't look like a norlun.
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Ninja'd But my map caters to us oldsters.
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Icon ftw again!
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I hope you let someone know where you're going. Your parents will be worried sick.
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MJO forecasts seemingly stalled the wave yesterday, but progression on most modeling is back to moving the wave into 7 and maybe 8. http://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/mjo_phase.html But looking back at some of the MJO forecasts I downloaded in November, we should have been in Phase 7 by today! Lol
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It doesn't matter much at this point, but Pivotal has added 6z and 18z Ukie runs.
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Icon still on its own, but there...somewhat.
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Thank you. Lol. I tried to get my account deleted too back in 2017, but no dice. Once they get you, they got you...during and after life!
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The sobering fact is that this month is -4 and has AN precip, but next to no snow. Obviously, January is colder, but I still think the shape of the trough holds our fate.
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I should have added, Icon is on its own.
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Have to take things into my own hands I guess. Lol
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Where's Bliz with the Icon maps?
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Do you have a 2nd home in Hanover?
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My concern is precip. Freebie maps look dry during the colder weeks. D@mn STJ is Mia thanks to Niña. Also, we need the trough axis to be more conducive for passing short waves under us versus what we've had and then redevelop with Atlantic moisture, or it's dry when cold. Hate to sound picky, but it has been 4 years since a 6"+ snow storm.
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Then what about all the other times? Lol
