mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Ukie ensembles
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Ukie doubled down on its 12z ensembles (that I posted earlier) to give us this at 18z. This is a 24hr snowfall too.
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27th not so kind in this forum. Better up your way for sure.
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Scroll forward. It's absolutely maddening how it can stay off the coast. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202502131800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502230600
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It's the 23rd not 25th. I was typing (maybe thumbing is more accurate) too fast.
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The stormnon the 23rd is more painful. It is an absolute bomb. Frankly, it's cry worthy. Lol
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The best run was 12z, but this run is a lot like the prior 3 runs.
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Another big storm on 2/23 that hits eastern NC and SE VA. Time for spring if you like snow and the AI is close to being right.
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I wish. It's further south and east again. Barely anything northwest of I95 north of Fredericksburg.
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I think I like the 6 hour snowfall at the end of the 18z Eps a little better than the 12z, but it's close.
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It better!
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18z a little too progressive for my liking compared to 12z.
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Gefs doubled down on snowfall in eastern NC however vs 12z.
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So does Rgem https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025021318&fh=84&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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18z Gem likes Saturday morning even down here. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
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Gfs ends this run with a final parting middle finger to inland Mid Atlantic https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025021318&fh=384&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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So did the Icon and it came north.
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I never believed it imby, so no loss in my mind Plus, it would have been wiped out by the rain. Maybe you folks who get 4" can suck up the rain into the snow instead of it getting destroyed.
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Only out to 120hrs vs 180 at 12z and 0z.
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You forgot to add the snow depth map right after it ends. Unfortunately, Pivotal doesn't offer closeup maps for the Cfs2. Probably because we're not supposed to take it seriously. Lol
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Just the storm.
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<jinx>Just wanted to mention that my house was as dead center of the heaviest square north of Carroll County.<jinx>
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I remember that storm from the coverage of it on Channel 13 in Baltimore. They had a live traffic segment from their chopper traffic reporter. It hadn't started snowing yet imby, but he showed a pic outside the chopper and the chopper lights illuminated decent snow falling where he was 1500' or so up.
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Then I was born near the end of the decade.
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Ukie ensembles 24hr snowfall to maintain the sanity of all N&W weenies.
