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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Yes! I "cheated" and looked a couple of times already. Lol
  2. mitchnick
    I want soooo bad for the Euro to be humiliated! Lol
  3. mitchnick
    Ninja'd
  4. mitchnick
    Finally transfers to coast at 43hrs
  5. mitchnick
    5H low has opened up at 41 hrs so we'll see have much wrap around from upper level we can muster shortly.
  6. mitchnick
    Look at the connective areas in Ohio.
  7. mitchnick
    Geez. 998 near Elkins, WV and still snow here. Incredible
  8. mitchnick
    Dry air definitely eating away snow accumulations east of the mts.
  9. mitchnick
    I'll be shocked if Hrrr doesn't push precip further than the Nam. Look at greater zr area in VA.
  10. mitchnick
    Hrrr just bullying it's way east. Look how the red and blue dashed heights lines are being pushed e and ne in front of it.
  11. mitchnick
    Hrrr the first of the mesos to roll out tonight. Very interested to see if it folds. But atv16hrs on the 0z run it's already down to 999 and 1mb lower than 18z andc2 lower than 12z
  12. mitchnick
    I have never seen such discrepancy between the mesos and globals. Crazy.
  13. mitchnick
    Today’s weeklies are colder than yesterday's...what a shock. Last 3 weeks have AN precip on the east coast. Buckle up winter haters! Lol
  14. mitchnick
    I honestly don't recall when the Nam twins, HRRR, and SREFs have had as many identical runs in a row to themselves and each other as they have with this snowstorm.
  15. mitchnick
    Eps
  16. mitchnick
    At 36hrs, you can see comparing 6z and 12z to this run how height lines jumped north from the 12z run.
  17. mitchnick
    That's 10:1
  18. mitchnick
    Late start
  19. mitchnick
    Question for the Mets is, on average, as I know every storm and model performance is different, when does the HRRR reach its credible range?
  20. mitchnick
    Forgot to mention, for updates, visit my home page at: https://famoushotweiner.com/
  21. mitchnick
    For mby, I'll go with 3-5" for now, which is the optimistic side of the likely 2-4".
  22. mitchnick
    He's using the Gefs. Eps have done much better this winter in the long range. The cold pattern will end in the form of a typical winter thaw. The question then is whether the cold pattern returns, or does the remaing pattern allow us opportunities. Too early to answer that one. Short was, Eps weeklies gets us around normal last week of this month and then a week of modest (2-3?) AN temps starting the first full week of February. Too early to say beyond that.
  23. mitchnick
    You can recall the winter of 09/10? I have pictures from that winter and I was already an old fart.
  24. mitchnick
    Something we don't usually consider until closer to crunch time, but thought I'd check now is 5H pressure tendencies. We need ridging out front to push that system north. This map shows very nice ridging developing to block the system from sliding south of us. Obviously, too much is bad, but those details will wait. Suffice to say that the Euro would bring this baby north.
  25. mitchnick
    Because Ben Noll is there.
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