Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,524

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Ukie ensembles too. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=mogrepsgens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025010706&fh=138&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  2. mitchnick
    Probably should have added this link with it too. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025010700&fh=336
  3. mitchnick
    Pretty decent signal for a big dog in the long range on the EuroAI. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025010700&fh=336
  4. mitchnick
    I'm thinking we get an extended winter "thaw" in February, then a last gasp of winter late February into early March. Just a wag, but that's my story and I'm stickin' with it. Cansips and Euro are looking like a weakish Modoki Niño. If right, that along with cooling global oceans, may turn out OK as long as the PDO cooperates too.
  5. mitchnick
    Really need to score in every opportunity we get in January because once the 2nd week of February arrives, the large scale pattern will deteriorate for substantial MA snows based on current modeling.
  6. mitchnick
    That's what I'm hoping for and is likely the top end. I don't like how the Eps keeps jackpotting the MD/DE eastern shores. I'm a firm believer of persistent seasonal patterns and since they were jackpotted yesterday, it wouldn't shock me if it happens again.
  7. mitchnick
    Meh, Eps snowfall leaner than 0z. Tough hobby.
  8. mitchnick
    Plenty of time for minor changes in the trough for improvements. Yeah, it could get worse, but an inch or 2 seems like the basement on most models.
  9. mitchnick
  10. mitchnick
    6z coming as good....or better maybe. Lol
  11. mitchnick
    Not as good as 0z I believe. Snowfall mean shifted SE from 0z, so even though that doesn't look bad, the trend is consistent with other modeling pushing the best eastward. NE actually improved thanks to their sticking out to the east.
  12. mitchnick
    Ughh Bwi hasn't reported snowfall yet, but qpf was .73". Can't wait.
  13. mitchnick
    Chilly outside at around 17. Weekend threat is probably not a big deal with jackpot zones, you guessed it, exactly where yesterday's were. Southern and se PA favored as of now. 1-3" is what's favored now subject to change.
  14. mitchnick
    Rgem looked pretty good at the end. We're seeing a positive trend at least, whether modest or strong, it's positive.
  15. mitchnick
    Icon will probably work for me.
  16. mitchnick
    I'll shoot squirrel. I don't need a elk! Consequential measurable snowfall works for me.
  17. mitchnick
    NE folks like it a lot and believe it a phase as well, but it doesn't really matter for more than 6 hours anyway. Lol
  18. mitchnick
    Here's the 18z Gfs version same time as Nam https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  19. mitchnick
    Don't laugh at the map, but it shows a picture very similar to Gfs with the elongated 5H trough. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  20. mitchnick
    Gfs
  21. mitchnick
    Looks like a phase to me, but who knows if it would deliver or not. Big boys on deck anyway.
  22. mitchnick
    Nam looks pretty good if I must say so, and I must.
  23. mitchnick
    That's not for you, it's for me! Lol
  24. mitchnick
    I was 2.75" as of 10am, then we had light snows for several hours putting me at 3". Tonight ain't worth measuring as I can see it's around .5" and the wind is making it too crazy for an exact number, so I'll go with a final total of 3.5".
  25. mitchnick
    Painful? Yes, but it beats a total miss like 1/3/22.
×
×
  • Create New...