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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Icon north some too.
  2. mitchnick
    Look at the time stamp. They're an hour old.
  3. mitchnick
    That's 10:1. Kuchie isn't as bad at all.
  4. mitchnick
    Last night's Eps looked great, but took a dive at 6z.
  5. mitchnick
    I read in the NE forum that Snowgoose, met from NY, says a no go. Too early to say for sure, but except for the Gfs and Euro, there's been no hint of anything like they're showing on the Gem, Ukie? or Icon.
  6. mitchnick
    6-7 miles from the MD border. That close enough?
  7. mitchnick
    I went 3-5" imby yesterday in the MA forum, and I think mentioned it here too, and reiterated it earlier this morning. No reason to change that yet. If I thought a change made sense, my gut says it would be lower and not higher. This has been a central MD/VA storm since 6z Friday run when Euro and Ukie went south. Changes have not been enough in the right ways atmospherically; at least, not yet, and we're running out of time. Next weekend thing looks very questionable too.
  8. mitchnick
    High Risk posted last night that the 0z Hrrr did not have 0z soundings ingested. I would guess, therefore, that the 12z Hrrr won't have 12z sounding data. Someone with actual knowledge may feel free to correct me. It would be a first time on the forum, of course, but feel free.
  9. mitchnick
    Nam, Hrrr, and Nams both showing that tendency, so inevitable. But those are 10:1 ratios. Still hoping for 6"+. With any luck, slight trend north continues with each run.
  10. mitchnick
    Latest Srefs coming in line with mesos as it lightens up qpf/snow north side. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025010509&fh=60&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  11. mitchnick
    6z Euro looked completely different from 0z, as in no phase and a strung out H5, but Eps looked more like 0z thankfully. Lol Edit: No, 0z was better. Need more sleep.
  12. mitchnick
    6z Nam has that 2 areas of max where yours are located.
  13. mitchnick
    Eps. Total thru 186hrs.
  14. mitchnick
    Still like for now my call of 3-5" imby. Final guess by Tuesday.
  15. mitchnick
    Don't answer. Make him go to a website.
  16. mitchnick
    Many. Euro, Gfs, some of the mesos and trolly a few others I don't know about but not the icon per MA forum discussion today.
  17. mitchnick
    Looks like Hrrr is not north enough if I'm understanding it correctly.
  18. mitchnick
    And he'd change it if the globals came north in a second.
  19. mitchnick
    Very much Sref'ish.
  20. mitchnick
    Fv3 a win if you liked the 3k Nam https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwfv3&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025010500&fh=60&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  21. mitchnick
    Fv3 a win https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwfv3&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025010500&fh=60&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  22. mitchnick
    Teacher, the Science Teacher just copied my homework.
  23. mitchnick
    3k looks like a decent back side on the way if you're under it. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2025010500&fh=43&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  24. mitchnick
    Fyi, 3k very similar to 12k, so continued agreement with the twins.
  25. mitchnick
    Sorta gets a push north at 39 hrs
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