Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,236

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    If the Icon took a decent step at 18z, maybe others will follow and Gfs hold.
  2. mitchnick
    Kicker on the Icon will be a thorn in future runs I bet. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500h_anom&rh=2025010618&fh=114&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  3. mitchnick
    114hrs Icon looks real good
  4. mitchnick
    None of the models were perfect and they never will be. The vaunted Euro had me at 6" on last night's 0z run and I got 3". So a forecast from 3 days vs 12 hrs with same degree of error is better. Plus, Nam did better in other areas, so you can't judge it from yby.
  5. mitchnick
    Icon promising at 102hrs
  6. mitchnick
    Beginning 72 hrs out from start time, I don't think the Nam did that bad with today's event.
  7. mitchnick
    18z gives us nothing more. We dun.
  8. mitchnick
    Stoped a while ago here. I guess the Rap and Hrrr will be right with their forecast of no snow this pm and wrong with their earlier forecasts of decent snow. Odd...that never happens.
  9. mitchnick
    Wind has picked up.
  10. mitchnick
    Just checked my NWS forecast. Went from 2-4" to 1-3" this PM. Says snows arrive after 3pm. I'll take that and hope for the 2-3".
  11. mitchnick
    Oye, I haven't been looking at the short term models, but just did. Rap and Hrrr say that the stuff on radar never amounts to anything imby. Oh well. We'll find out, but certainly less optimistic.
  12. mitchnick
    Shoot me now.
  13. mitchnick
    Headed my way...save me some!
  14. mitchnick
    Bigger flakes have now shown up as that stuff out west and NW is arriving. I really think many of us will be pleasantly surprised. Obviously, it will take some locational luck, but doesn't it always?
  15. mitchnick
    Stuff out of Pitt radar making it across the mtns. Got come south eventually. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  16. mitchnick
    Lwx radar is now showing radar returns to our west heading toward us. Give it some time. We have a NE flow to help with mtn loss, but it's a nail biter. Anyway, my call of 3-5" from early yesterday looks good now. But honestly, if we do get a lucky break on that stuff out west, I could bust low as I measured 2.75" this morning.
  17. mitchnick
    Why? Pitt radar https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  18. mitchnick
    I think we'll do fine with it, even up here.
  19. mitchnick
    I'm about 4 miles south max from rt 30. I hope.
  20. mitchnick
    We'll run with the weenie hope that Gfs handles N stream better than Euro.
  21. mitchnick
    I love this radar from Pitt. The 700mb forcing stuff is sinking down and flow from sw is headed this way. I'm hoping it hits north of me then sinks down. We'll see. Official measurement from mby 90 minutes ago was 2.75". Lt snow has continued since. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  22. mitchnick
    12z Gfs says some N MD love from u/l low. Of course, I'm just a wee bit north.
  23. mitchnick
    It's like 3"+. Where we live? I'll take it gladly.
  24. mitchnick
    OC looks to have flipped after several inches. Visibility is up, so that's why I assume a flip. https://oceancitylive.com/
  25. mitchnick
    Back to mod snow here. We're going to have snow of varying intensity all day into the night, but not too much that you can't go out in it. Absolute win in my book.
×
×
  • Create New...