That's an average of the last 16 runs I believe. The more recent runs have been cold. Can always change, of course, especially when you're running the model 4x/day. Lol
No. The 24th event I mentioned was the big one. But I doubt that it would be quick to jump on board due to discrete change(s) making such a big difference.
Nbd at this point, but EuroAI pushes 24th off the coast to our south. Sunday still on course. Looks wetter too. Having trouble pulling up Sunday temps so I can't comment on them yet.