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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    It's a measure of the Pacific, not a driver.
  2. mitchnick
    Ughh. Hate the Euro. Lol
  3. mitchnick
    Gem is a gem.
  4. mitchnick
    Just gunna post. It's bringing something out of the GOM. Where it goes???
  5. mitchnick
    S&E again with the system. Ughh
  6. mitchnick
    Gem has that trough stuck in the sw. Where have we seen that before?
  7. mitchnick
    Ninjad
  8. mitchnick
    Gem may have something post 180hrs
  9. mitchnick
    Looks like 1 on Thursday to me.
  10. mitchnick
    The key to February is that all long range guidance has precip AN all along the east coast. So warmer temps and AN precip in February is conducive to snowfall.
  11. mitchnick
    1.1-1.2" in Hanover
  12. mitchnick
    Looks like the first batter is coming up to the plate at the end of the Icon run. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2025011112&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500h_anom&rh=2025011112&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  13. mitchnick
    1.1-1.2"
  14. mitchnick
    Ensembles have the best look for a 5-7 day period I can remember. Hopefully they don't lose it. 6z EuroAI has the 2nd wave with the snow again. Biggest concern for me remains cold overwhelming but that's more based on seasonal pattern/persistence.
  15. mitchnick
    I haven't looked closely at how they do it, but Geps snowfall map is the best of the 3 ensembles. At this range, that's all I need to know. Lol
  16. mitchnick
    6z Gfs is continuous cold and dry, aside from flurries. Edit: Gefs snowfall actually pretty decent.
  17. mitchnick
    Let's see if the 0z Euro can get it right.
  18. mitchnick
    Who's upset? Calling it the way I see it and in light of the concern of too much cold. But I'm not saying it won't snow. I am saying I don't buy Gfs fantasy storms though.
  19. mitchnick
    Rumors I buy at this point. Storms, we're gunna have to wait on for a bit.
  20. mitchnick
    Snow started in the past couple minutes fast and steady. Like a sheet drifted down from the sky.
  21. mitchnick
    Too much of a good thing...cold. The question is whether the new pattern is conducive once we get a thaw. Who knows? Hopefully the Euro will reflect some stability unlike the Gfs and Gefs. Maybe their ensembles look better, but it's not encouraging to see the operationals lose a new pattern so fast.
  22. mitchnick
    What happened to the overrunning pattern? It keeps changing after 2 or 3 looks to something else, always further away in time. Just not believing the fantasy storms.
  23. mitchnick
    Nothing like what we saw the last few runs. Gfs has a fantasy storm post 270hrs, but that'll be gone by 12z if not 6z.
  24. mitchnick
    I said earlier today my fear of cold overwhelming everything. Certainly looks that way thru 240hrs on both Gfs and Gem unfortunately.
  25. mitchnick
    Whatever it takes to snow the most before time runs out.
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