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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    As long as the end result was what it showed on the 12z run, leed the way CMC. It's all yours baby.
  2. mitchnick
    Yeah, but there was no snow on the 12z Euro at 150hrs either, but ready to pop. You can see as Heisey posted the vort hangs back some. Being in the bullseye of sorts at this range is down right uncomfortable.
  3. mitchnick
    Comparing 18z Euro 144hrs to 12z 150hrs.
  4. mitchnick
    Heights lower on the east coast at the end of this run of the Euro means slp could be further south if model continued. Just speculation at this point. Next run could be different, of course.
  5. mitchnick
    Result better with Euro or too early to know? Pivotal is slower that WB.
  6. mitchnick
    Now THAT'S my idea of overrunning! Oh, how I wish. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011318&fh=384&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=prateptype_cat-imp&m=gfs
  7. mitchnick
    He always would bring up that storm. It dropped like 8-10" in the DCA/BWI area and then had highs in the teens. Actually, for the first time, it may not be such a bad analogy tempwise but just a touch short on snow..or maybe not. We'll see. Reagan's inauguration was cold, but no snow.
  8. mitchnick
    No, that's the Shallow Thought Model.
  9. mitchnick
    2 bucks says JB tries to equate this to the JFK, JR. Inauguration storm at some point.
  10. mitchnick
    For the detailed oriented...and JI
  11. mitchnick
    Going in the right direction too. Gets going earlier this run.
  12. mitchnick
  13. mitchnick
    Gfs another hit
  14. mitchnick
    How has that performed this winter 5-6 days out if you know? Thanks
  15. mitchnick
    Definitely a can kick on the temps. The only week now above normal with temps is week 6 vs weeks 4, 5, and 6 the last several days. Mainly normal vs AN weeks 4 and 5.
  16. mitchnick
    Not wrt to temps. They have been decent. Precip, snow, and any other forecasts I haven't followed closely so I can't comment.
  17. mitchnick
    But without the pics.
  18. mitchnick
    What you call negative, I call honest assessment. But don't confuse negative with disgust. Lol
  19. mitchnick
    Fyi, today's weeklies just out maintain BN a lot the first 2 weeks, then keep us normal until the week of 2/17-24. That is a major can-kick from the last several days that had AN getting here starting the week of 2/3. Fwiw, AN precip the week starting 1/27 and then normal thru 2/24.
  20. mitchnick
    Euro AI 12z still has Sunday event and it looks even drier than 6z but you'll need the better maps in an hour or so to confirm. I seriously doubt it's more however. No other snow on the run short of a very little bit from a clipper.
  21. mitchnick
    Thanks for the shout out... Now get outta' here kid, ya' bother me! :p
  22. mitchnick
    Fast flow and dryness, the preceeding probably the cause of the latter, is our nemesis. Nothing we can do about it. I haven't bothered to find out why, but the Gefs keep piling up snow past 180hrs. 3" imby. Seems crazy.
  23. mitchnick
    Maybe it left some energy behind?
  24. mitchnick
    Sorry....driving.
  25. mitchnick
    Ukie 2-4"
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