mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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A bit of good news for the non-NW folks. 6z GGEM has shifted south some. Here's the link to qpf that falls as snow. Remember to multiply mm times .4 to get qpf in inches. Don't forget to move the decimal point!!! https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
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I don't see it posted, so here's 0z EuroAI qpf.
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Rgem had me at 10.4" and Rgem 10.5". That kind of agreement between any 2 model doesn't happen very often.
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If I was living in my old home 2 miles north of BWI, I would be dying if that happened.
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Shaweeeet!
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Should cool from there in PA
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Mid Atlantic says Gem not great up to 30 miles nw of I95. I think I'm safe. Probably like Rgem.
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That would be the Euro AI
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Icon is slower it appears
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Wow...it popped at 66hrs lol
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Icon starting off weaker than 18z. Very little precip at 60hrs vs 18z run
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It's remembering storms like this over the years that had me looking for a house on the north side of Hanover.
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Close for me, but still at 10"+. It's probably too amped, so no worries from me yet.
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I'm not fearing too much cold. I'm just pointing out what the Nam is doing unlike any other model.
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You just did! Lol
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Who needs it? Lol
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Nam's height lines at 60hrs are way east vs models that show a hit. Cold push is too strong imho.
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If you look at the height lines at 60hrs, it's got the 3rd blue line thru Hagerstown vs models that hit have 1. Cold push is just too strong imho.
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Nam will not show a hit this run because it pushes cold well east of models with a hit.
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It does and there's a link to 850's only below. However, one of the Mets in the MA forum familiar with its verifications said not to rely on them literally fwiw. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-z500-t850?base_time=202501161800&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501190600
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AI has pushed next week closer too, but still a miss for now.
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Yes, and it looks like a hit on the 28th, but not as perfect as the 12z operational...yet! Lol
