Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,236

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    I'm not here for your benefit! Lol Look at the model yourself and then there won't be any misunderstanding. Real simple.
  2. mitchnick
    It was warmer than 12z. There are such things in the English language called figures of speech.
  3. mitchnick
    Gfs is just one cold shot after another. I don't remember 13/14 being this persistent.
  4. mitchnick
    Gem gave me 8" and the Ukie 2.5". What are you talking about?
  5. mitchnick
    Ukie warmer. Lol I give up
  6. mitchnick
    Ukie looking to go with the Sunday option.
  7. mitchnick
    I didn't bother mentioning earlier that the AI at 18z slid the Sunday threat to our south for a miss.
  8. mitchnick
    Yes...before it fails too.
  9. mitchnick
    Gem cutoff is incredulous. It'll shift south on future runs. Cold will win.
  10. mitchnick
    Should have known Gfs would fail when the Gefs had 1".
  11. mitchnick
    Thinking Gem looks better. We'll see.
  12. mitchnick
    Gfs is just overwhelmed by cold.
  13. mitchnick
    Knew it was coming early on. So far, Gem still looks like 12z.
  14. mitchnick
    I believe that's overdone with just flurries. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025011318&fh=150
  15. mitchnick
    18z Euro AI passes the storm south of most of MD. VA and eastern shore of DE and MD are the winners. But almost brings up a big storm on the 24th.
  16. mitchnick
    Shockingly, 18z AI almost brings the big storm to us stopping in SPA. I'm talking next Thursday, the 24th. Maybe some hope still out there for that, and maybe not. Lol
  17. mitchnick
    Euro AI 18z passes the Sunday threat just to our south thru MD/VA...God help me please!
  18. mitchnick
    And it ain't close to being over at that point either.
  19. mitchnick
    Absolutely. I have a 2-bit theory that you want to be in the bullseye for the first area wide of the season because it almost always means your chances of being the bullseye in subsequent events is higher, and don't want to be on the short end for the first area wide event because it increases odds you'll repeat. I have found for the mid Atlantic area, it works often.
  20. mitchnick
    Anybody take a peak at the end of the HH GFS? Man is it sweet, even for lala land. But Gfs/Gefs have been advertising something big at the end of their runs for a day+.
  21. mitchnick
    The negative for those of us east of the mts is that it comes thru early PM so boundary temps are peaking.
  22. mitchnick
    18z Euro slowed up the vort for Sunday's threat. Always paranoid delayed results in denied.
  23. mitchnick
    For everyone else who's paranoid, Eps 6hr precip 144hrs on 18z vs 12z at 150hrs. Pretty close really.
  24. mitchnick
    Wasn't 93/94 a big overrunning year for you folks?
  25. mitchnick
    I hate seeing anything different on subsequent runs after a good one because you never know where it will take you.
×
×
  • Create New...