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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Didn't look. Busy cursing out my law school buddy in Salisbury.
  2. mitchnick
    Gefs don't support that big eastern/se storm on the operational.
  3. mitchnick
    Hopefully! Plus, Euro operational and AI show snow and Ukie has the storm with precip type still in question.
  4. mitchnick
    I think the first storm works out, but that 2nd storm wreaks of a miss to my SE. You're in better shape than me though.
  5. mitchnick
    .44
  6. mitchnick
    Eastern NC gets hit again at 294hrs. Lol
  7. mitchnick
    I said plausible, not guaranteed.
  8. mitchnick
    The only thing we have going for us is there's time. Time to cry or time to win is the question.
  9. mitchnick
    Casablanca
  10. mitchnick
    Clearly, it's a lower Eastern Shore/Tidewater VA year, at least the models seem to think so. In a Niña, with SBY at over a foot, it's plausible too.
  11. mitchnick
    What a tease on the Gfs at 225hrs.
  12. mitchnick
    It's going to continue south in future runs because it's the Gfs. 18z vs 12z.
  13. mitchnick
    How about the Eps, if you happen to know?
  14. mitchnick
    Nah, more of a dual gonadectomy.
  15. mitchnick
    Considering we're looking at little or nothing this week, which we've known for a while, it's not quite as bad as it looks.
  16. mitchnick
    Why do you say that? I never listened to them until this year.
  17. mitchnick
    The guy, Mike, on Bamwx does a nice job explaining things.
  18. mitchnick
    Gfs looks sorta like PD2 with that east-west area of overrunning snow for 12+ hours. I'll take that and call it a season if I had to. Lol
  19. mitchnick
    I was expecting the Gefs and especially the Eps to hold serve over the last run, if not improve, but they reduced snowfall. Wtf
  20. mitchnick
    Imho, as a big believer in seasonal patterns, you always want to be in the bullseye for the first meaningful snowfall. This year, to my/our south. Then to see maps like that just make the other half of me crazy since I started at 50%.
  21. mitchnick
    Brutal 12z Euro run for S Central PA. I don't know whether to laugh or cry, but believe it's possible in light of seasonal pattern. This one's for you Bubbler...and me. Lol
  22. mitchnick
    Gem has been very inconsistent in the longer range for a while, BUT not with this storm. That's 3 runs in a row showing the storm, twice as snow and once as rain. At that range, that's a very decent signal for something other than cold and dry.
  23. mitchnick
    Ukie has a storm at 168hrs, but would be close on temps. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=prateptype_ukmo-imp&rh=2025011212&fh=168&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  24. mitchnick
    Almost looks like PD2 at the end of the Gfs run...almost.
  25. mitchnick
    Gefs still have a reasonable signal for the 19th-20th fwiw.
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