mitchnick

Rgem looks very close to 6z at 69hrs, if not stronger slp.

Rgem looks on track to prior runs so far.

A little late to the party, but the 6z GEM was solid.

Forgot the Rgem

So they have made them human.

Well, if the AI model was programmed with Euro data which has had a history of burying energy in the SW, weenie speculation says the AI model may erroneously tend toward that bias too. I'll weenie myself to save others the trouble.

Says the tech man. Lol

There ain't no sentence you can't end a preposition with.

No coups with this one for the Nam. Lol

Great movie. Love the weather in Philly! Lol

Fyi, 6z GEM is a crushing. It it only goes out to 84hrs like the Rgem, but it shows a lot of 10mm+ (.4") qpf had fallen as snow and still more heavy snow to go as shown on these 2 maps.

First flakes here.

Remedial grammar classes. Lol

I still don't think the AI can be trusted any more than the EPS past 5 days. With more attention to it, we may have a better idea in the coming weeks.

This is the link to all the AI products. The qpf/slp combo map is the 5th one down. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]}

All I can say is this looks like the wettest run so far based on the crummy maps of the Euro site.

Call me a , but I think it's important for Sunday's system to hit as consensus is now showing. Bob Chill calls them train tracks while I call it seasonal pattern, the point is that there are areas favored in every season. The MA generally was the bullseye last Monday and would at least do as well as any other area with Sunday's current consensus. We couldn't ask for more if we are looking for a seasonal pattern imho. Obviously, no guarantees and there could be different areas in the MA favored over others with each storm. But in short, it's a good sign for future threats despite model runs.

6z Rgem held serve https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011606&fh=84&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=prateptype-imp&m=rdps

Cycles are 8AM for 6z; 2PM for 12z; 8PM for 18z; 2AM for 0z.

The winner is the EuroAI while the operational is the dog.

It can be just as bad as the Gfs.

Let me just say to all the Euro lovers...you're crazy. I told JI last night it flip-flops like all the models. It is NOT the Euro if old relative to the other models.

Euro can flip-flop like the best of them. 3.5 days away still.

AI has been consistent with a hit thru 18z run.

Ukie verification is 2nd to Euro and Canadian 3rd. Don't know where Icon is, but has snow.