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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Ukie Sunday
  2. mitchnick
    Ukie
  3. mitchnick
    What cluster and turn around over the last 24 hrs. Nothing more to say until or unless another turn around occurs.
  4. mitchnick
    18z AI lost ALL qpf other than Sunday, which was a little lighter. Artificial intelligence my arse! https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501160000
  5. mitchnick
    18z AI a little drier than 12z mainly on the north side. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501160000
  6. mitchnick
    Let's hope not. A bit surprising how different the operational and AI have been on this. Recent events have had them pretty similar.
  7. mitchnick
    Good to finally have this nailed down.
  8. mitchnick
    To think that the Gfs will prevail, which has had it as nothing of consequence all along, is a scary and sobering thought.
  9. mitchnick
    Rgem at 84hrs looks nearly identical to 12z Gem at 90hrs fwiw.
  10. mitchnick
    I had to give you something to do
  11. mitchnick
    If I could step in and say from experience that it's just best not to respond to others you may not agree with historically. For example, there's a guy on this site who I won't even answer. He's nothing but trouble. I can't remember his screen name, but all I can say is that I Hate'm. I mean I really Hate'm and have stopped all contact. Just a thought. P.s. intended as a joke by the way
  12. mitchnick
    Seems the difference between the dry solutions and wet ones are the extent of the eastward progress of the cold. Gem, for example, has the least eastward progression and the strongest storm, albeit too far west outside the foothills and west.
  13. mitchnick
    Tell that to my wife.
  14. mitchnick
    Nope. Opposite! Lol
  15. mitchnick
    EuroAI MUCH wetter for Sunday and a light to mod hit for Wednesday. Here's the link to scroll through precip. Easier thame posting separate maps. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501151800
  16. mitchnick
    I'm numb. Don't recall seeing such a spread, both Sunday and next week.
  17. mitchnick
    But I bet it's cold.
  18. mitchnick
    Ukie Tuesday night. This is the closest it gets.
  19. mitchnick
    Ukie Sunday
  20. mitchnick
    Here's a link to EuroAI products from free Euro site. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
  21. mitchnick
    Yes. 6z the 2 moved east.
  22. mitchnick
    From what I'm seeing, they are mainly east and barely scrape the area.
  23. mitchnick
    Sunday on 6z Euro AI is wetter. Pure guess based on lousy maps, but 3-4" generally? But next week shifted east with a scrapper. Don't worry about next week because AI just as jumpy as other models 5+ days out.
  24. mitchnick
    I should have added, 6z Eps kept moving and looked almost identical to 0z, so odds are operational will be close to 0z.
  25. mitchnick
    6z Euro moving again
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