mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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You're too quick. I deleted after I saw that. Lol
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6z Eps
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You people are weirdos.
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6z Euro
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6z Rgem came north and brings 1" up to DCA & BWI. Nothing yet for me (wipe that smile off your face!)
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Nah. Gem completely crushes round 2. That trough in Canada is a monster as modeled. Unless things change, fugetaboutit.
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Gem might have a better shot at round 2.
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It's the Gfs. It'll be different in 6 hrs
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The trough in se Canada looks crushing
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I feel like we've gotten the band back together.
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That's likely why our storm gets pushed east unfortunately.
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Solid run? Maybe some chunks, but solid?
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Gfs isn't interested in anything over the next week+ unfortunately except for a fast, compressed flow.
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You're right. Rule of thumb should always be disregard anything past its 78 hour wheelhouse.
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I was just looking at that thinking ain't it always the case.
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Yeah, but it almost looks like there's something behind the Friday system. Nam map is just a mall parking lot during Christmas Eve.
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Maybe some trailing energy....maybe?
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Nam looks flatter Edit: flattened
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Do you want to get banned?
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Accuwx take
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Srefs at the end of their recent run. This is just 24hr precip. You can check out other stuff at this Pivotal link. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=qpf_024h-mean-imp&rh=2025120215&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Hopefully we can score in this pattern before the warmup hits at the end of both the Eps and Gefs. Looks to cool off again post 360hrs, but who knows what kind of pattern we'll be given.
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Just remember that the 12z Gfs showed this snowfall that was supposed to fall today after 7am. South of Harrisburg was pretty much a bust and York got 95%+ rain according to a York poster vs the 3.6" the Gfs forecasted.
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And in classic BWI form, it failed for us too. Lol
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Well, cancel the dry trend, at least for this one. Definitely. 5"+ qpf up here.
