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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Yeah, I didn't post them there. I know how I felt when I saw that kind of map when living near BWI.
  2. Here she comes https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2025011612&fh=75&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  3. Rgem looks very close to 6z at 69hrs, if not stronger slp.
  4. Well, if the AI model was programmed with Euro data which has had a history of burying energy in the SW, weenie speculation says the AI model may erroneously tend toward that bias too. I'll weenie myself to save others the trouble.
  5. There ain't no sentence you can't end a preposition with.
  6. Great movie. Love the weather in Philly! Lol
  7. Fyi, 6z GEM is a crushing. It it only goes out to 84hrs like the Rgem, but it shows a lot of 10mm+ (.4") qpf had fallen as snow and still more heavy snow to go as shown on these 2 maps.
  8. I still don't think the AI can be trusted any more than the EPS past 5 days. With more attention to it, we may have a better idea in the coming weeks.
  9. This is the link to all the AI products. The qpf/slp combo map is the 5th one down. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
  10. All I can say is this looks like the wettest run so far based on the crummy maps of the Euro site.
  11. Call me a , but I think it's important for Sunday's system to hit as consensus is now showing. Bob Chill calls them train tracks while I call it seasonal pattern, the point is that there are areas favored in every season. The MA generally was the bullseye last Monday and would at least do as well as any other area with Sunday's current consensus. We couldn't ask for more if we are looking for a seasonal pattern imho. Obviously, no guarantees and there could be different areas in the MA favored over others with each storm. But in short, it's a good sign for future threats despite model runs.
  12. 6z Rgem held serve https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011606&fh=84&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=prateptype-imp&m=rdps
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