mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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18z GGEM I think I see that ridge you live on Psu.
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18z Gem Wowzer! Yellow is 8" +/- Orange is 10" +/-
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Pretty JMA'ish
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Lot of other models go into the Srefs, so that tells me Nam really is on its own.
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Looks like yesterday's Gfs
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Looks like yesterday’s Gfs.
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Nam looks like the Gfs yesterday.
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Getting some big flakes now with a decent radar return over me. Won't last unfortunately.
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Not inconsistent with several of the models and consistent as heck. We'll see.
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This 6hr map and the next 2 if interested. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501161200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501200000
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This panel and the next 6hr panel. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501161200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501200000
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https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501161200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501200000 Some before and after.
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Yep. Looks the same. Maybe, just maybe, a hair better, but not by much if it is. Definitely healthy qpf shield. You and I are near the center of the best panel.
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Euro AI held serve with 6z run it appears.
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12z AI looks like 6z run with qpf.
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AI holds serve. Looks like last run with qpf.
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Euro is carp in my eyes. All over the place. No matter what happens Sunday, you'll be able to find 1 run out of 20 that it had it right.
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For purpose of trends, Geps came south from 0z run, so better for I95.
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And this is why I hate the Gefs, if not all ensembles. This was the 0z Gefs total, not just 24hrs like that map, thru same time.
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I thought he died years ago.
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Euro operational has become hit or miss. Stick with the AI at 2pm.
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
mitchnick replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the night of March 1, 1980 ACC Basketball championship Elizabeth City got 20" and BWI 5". DCA a little better than BWI. Terps lost to NC. lol -
Reminds me of the night of the 1980 ACC Basketball championship with 20" in Elizabeth City, NC and 5" at BWI.
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Back north from last run gets us some snow.
