mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
mitchnick replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
With modeling this year, both Gfs and Gem say buckle up for a bloody ride. Lol -
I would like another 10+ miles more breathing room for better ratios. Lol
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Bumped a bit nw of 6z at 48hrs. We're not talking much here.
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Bumped a bit nw of 6z at 48hrs however
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Rgem height lines at 42hrs about 25 miles se of 6z fwiw.
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Rgem height lines at 42hrs are about 25 miles se of 6z fwiw.
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Try being discouraged instead. Can only get better.
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12z runs this morning are still 48hrs away from start time, so we're not talking final answers yet. Just sayin'.
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3k NAM HAS A CLUE!
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My NWS forecast now is 3-5".
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Some models are by 7am and others hours later. Too early to say for sure.
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Didn't I say I thought it was a little more, even with those crummy maps? Being a weenie can be rewarding at times!
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Canadians stopped moving nw with their 6z runs and actually look a touch east from 0z.
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
mitchnick replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
AI gets some precip into the area on the 24th, but we miss most of the qpf. After that, it has 2 or 3 coastals missing us to the south and east. But those are beyond even the AI's reliability. -
Maker's Mark and Colt 45
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10-25mm quite the range
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That's the 12hr total. But looking at the 6hr maps, I doubt if it's less and gut days a touch more?
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You decide
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Euro operational may be the "superior" model, but that doesn't mean it always gives the superior forecast for any particularlocationat any particulartime. .
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Sux
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I got you in the wrong spot then! Lol
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There are even Ukie ensembles that go out 198hrs every 6 hours!
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That is 6z Kuchera
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Ukie 5-6" for us
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6z Euro filling in the gaps at least.
