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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Rgem at 84 hrs https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2025011818&fh=84&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  2. Considering the Canadians had their forecast from probably 3 days ago and will probably be what, 25-35 miles, north of reality is imho a great forecast.
  3. That's what you get when all you have is a ruler to make a map.
  4. Hair better on Rgem https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011818&fh=24&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=prateptype-imp&m=rdps
  5. At 21hrs, Heights about 20 miles south of 12z run on 18z Rgem.
  6. 12z AI qpf https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_aifs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2025011812&fh=60&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  7. No reduction in qpf on 12z AI https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_aifs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2025011812&fh=60&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  8. Forget the 2 Nam delinquents and go with the 15z Rap.
  9. 42hr 2 meter temp anomalies off the 12z Eps. Anyone remember seeing a surface temp anomaly map for the Conus like this one?
  10. I'd like to here @psuhoffman take on the end of the month once WxBell, TT, update with real maps.
  11. Looking like globals and other short term modeling...except the Nam twins, of course. It's like they've been in jail for years and can't assimilate.
  12. After living south of Baltimore by a few miles for most of my life, I still instinctively look there first and get that feeling in the pit of my stomach seeing that map. Oy it's just soooo different mentally not having to deal with that depression. Lol Of course, that instinctively backfired last Monday when they got almost double mby. Lol Can't win in this hobby.
  13. No. There are a couple shots of precip, but they look like fronts. There is a warmup or 2 between now and February, but nothing that bad except for maybe a day or 2? Hard to tell until TT and Pivotal update in the next 30-40 minutes. Again, I could be off on my opinion as to precip type and I'm focusing on the Mid Atlantic so areas to the north and west would be colder.
  14. Euro AI in lala land 1/31-2/1 looks like a big deal with some precip issues but still decent snow. Sorta reminds me of some big events.
  15. No. I'm just looking at 6 hour panels beginning with the snow.
  16. AI looks very similar. May be a tad lighter on qpf vs 6z, but not much at all if it is.
  17. Looks like the front just went thru Columbus OH as of 1pm reading.
  18. We better because there's nothing else on the run I presume.
  19. Ukie stuck at 39hrs on Pivotal, but it looks 4-8" or so when done.
  20. My back yard still pretty snow covered. Most of the yards on the north side of the house in my neighborhood, whether front or back, have retained 75% of the snow. Due to the low sun angle, the houses block much of the direct sunlight; south sides mainly, but not only, piles.
  21. Get to be my age and even the white stripes in the road become the fall line.
  22. Hopefully not much rain today to destroy remaining snow.
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