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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. I think that snowfall accumulation map of the Nam is quintessential convective feedback.
  2. Imho, Nam will fill in the gaps here come 0z and it will look like the Gfs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011718&fh=60&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=snku_acc-imp&m=nam
  3. 3k OK https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2025011718&fh=48&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  4. Still doesn't have it's act together, but getting there.
  5. Nam has the low and precip at 39hrs vs nothing at 45 on 12z
  6. I think first is snow/frozen. 2nd is a monster that pulls up a lot of warmth so may Starr frozen. Tons of qpf on 2.
  7. AI has 2 systems that hit us on 28th and 30th. Can't check temps right now but at least part of 1 or both likely snow...I think.
  8. It's close honestly on whether there is any more or less or whether it moved. I could be wrong either way, but not by much.
  9. AI as much. Again, gut says a hair more qpf. Might be a slight NW shift in area of qpf, but not much if at all.
  10. Get yourself something to eat, change your screen name, then check back for the AI.
  11. Forget it. Without medication, you'll never make him happy.
  12. As long as the AI holds or improves, look for the operational to juice up some in future runs, imho. We still have 42-48+hrs before the first flakes start falling.
  13. Ukie vasilates a lot. It was all over the place for last Monday. Of course, many have been doing likewise so nothing's set in mud at this point, let alone stone. All to the chagrin of weenies! Lol
  14. I just can't believe how unmovable the Canadians have been. Honestly don't believe I've ever seen that in almost 30 years of model watching.
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