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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Morning all. Early night for this old man. Georgia? Ummm....I hope that doesn't mean TWC.
  2. mitchnick
    3k is decent but not over the top like the Rgem
  3. mitchnick
    Ncep programmers are trying start local fights among the Mid Atlantic weenies.
  4. mitchnick
    3k is a really good run for all.
  5. mitchnick
    I meant to add that the Hrrr was putting heavy snows over SC PA last Monday, as in 6-9", and that never happened. It's apparently over amped so further adjustments east are likely imho.
  6. mitchnick
    Pretty big, but not unsurprising, shift eastward from 18z.
  7. mitchnick
    TCC comes in with a chart that he contends proves -2 temps now don't feel as cold as -2 temps 30 years ago despite what the thermometer reads.
  8. mitchnick
    18z AI looks around the same as 12z, which ain't a bad thing.
  9. mitchnick
    Probably right unless the Canadians are the Gretzky of the event.
  10. mitchnick
    18z still have the end of the month events, but they are both weaker. 1st one is a period of light precip but 2nd one is probably. 3-.4". Good news is it is cold enough for snow, at least it is for the 2nd event.
  11. mitchnick
    18z AI looks very close to 12z, so I'd be guessing if I said more.
  12. mitchnick
    Don't know if you're interested, here is the Ukie ensembles qpf and snowfall. Not west.
  13. mitchnick
    Interesting how the accumulating snow line on the latest Srefs is near identical to the Rgem. Hmmm... https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025011721&fh=87&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  14. mitchnick
    Just looked at the 21z Rap that goes out 51 hrs. Slp looks a lot like the Rgem but snow amounts are not as good in most places. I know it's useless at this range, but was curious and I don'thave a cat. Lol Surprised to see it look a lot like the Rgem. Here's a link that I think is free on Pivotal. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2025011721&fh=loop&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  15. mitchnick
    Weird part is the 12z Eps snowfall is pretty decent considering the operational. Maybe a bone from the AI will show up.
  16. mitchnick
    Fixed
  17. mitchnick
    18z Ggem. Wow again. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
  18. mitchnick
    Never seen ANY model have so many runs in a row and have the r/s line not move more than a couple of miles from the first run to the last.
  19. mitchnick
    I'm under the 12" and it would take 20-25 minutes to drive to nothing and 15 minutes to get to 4".
  20. mitchnick
    Unbelievable
  21. mitchnick
    Slp is 993 over MD on Rgem at 51hrs. Crusher somewhere
  22. mitchnick
    Rgem will be very close to 12z I believe.
  23. mitchnick
    Better for nw crew
  24. mitchnick
    Icon muuuuch better at 48hrs vs 54 at 12z
  25. mitchnick
    Icon starting off better than 12z
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