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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Cycles are 8AM for 6z; 2PM for 12z; 8PM for 18z; 2AM for 0z.
  2. The winner is the EuroAI while the operational is the dog.
  3. Let me just say to all the Euro lovers...you're crazy. I told JI last night it flip-flops like all the models. It is NOT the Euro if old relative to the other models.
  4. Euro can flip-flop like the best of them. 3.5 days away still.
  5. AI has been consistent with a hit thru 18z run.
  6. Ukie verification is 2nd to Euro and Canadian 3rd. Don't know where Icon is, but has snow.
  7. What cluster and turn around over the last 24 hrs. Nothing more to say until or unless another turn around occurs.
  8. 18z AI lost ALL qpf other than Sunday, which was a little lighter. Artificial intelligence my arse! https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501160000
  9. 18z AI a little drier than 12z mainly on the north side. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501160000
  10. Let's hope not. A bit surprising how different the operational and AI have been on this. Recent events have had them pretty similar.
  11. To think that the Gfs will prevail, which has had it as nothing of consequence all along, is a scary and sobering thought.
  12. Rgem at 84hrs looks nearly identical to 12z Gem at 90hrs fwiw.
  13. If I could step in and say from experience that it's just best not to respond to others you may not agree with historically. For example, there's a guy on this site who I won't even answer. He's nothing but trouble. I can't remember his screen name, but all I can say is that I Hate'm. I mean I really Hate'm and have stopped all contact. Just a thought. P.s. intended as a joke by the way
  14. Seems the difference between the dry solutions and wet ones are the extent of the eastward progress of the cold. Gem, for example, has the least eastward progression and the strongest storm, albeit too far west outside the foothills and west.
  15. EuroAI MUCH wetter for Sunday and a light to mod hit for Wednesday. Here's the link to scroll through precip. Easier thame posting separate maps. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501151800
  16. I'm numb. Don't recall seeing such a spread, both Sunday and next week.
  17. Ukie Tuesday night. This is the closest it gets.
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