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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Snows picking up here with a fast coating. 1-2" would be nice for sure.
  2. mitchnick
    They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol
  3. mitchnick
    You mean the Euro that gave us 5.5-6" in its last run before the flakes started to fly? Lol
  4. mitchnick
    At 60hrs Gfs holding back that energy vs 12z. Ocean vort off Atlantic is pishing westwardca lobe it seems.
  5. mitchnick
    I wonder which one over there is the snow weenie.
  6. mitchnick
    Radar looking better again. 18z Rgem gives us between .5-2". I always thought Rap and Hrrr lousy, and I'm reassured by today my prior thought were closer to right than wrong.
  7. mitchnick
    Heisey loves it, and Heisey knows his stuff, but I hate everything associated the the Euro. Lol
  8. mitchnick
    If the Icon took a decent step at 18z, maybe others will follow and Gfs hold.
  9. mitchnick
    Kicker on the Icon will be a thorn in future runs I bet. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500h_anom&rh=2025010618&fh=114&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  10. mitchnick
    114hrs Icon looks real good
  11. mitchnick
    None of the models were perfect and they never will be. The vaunted Euro had me at 6" on last night's 0z run and I got 3". So a forecast from 3 days vs 12 hrs with same degree of error is better. Plus, Nam did better in other areas, so you can't judge it from yby.
  12. mitchnick
    Icon promising at 102hrs
  13. mitchnick
    Beginning 72 hrs out from start time, I don't think the Nam did that bad with today's event.
  14. mitchnick
    18z gives us nothing more. We dun.
  15. mitchnick
    Stoped a while ago here. I guess the Rap and Hrrr will be right with their forecast of no snow this pm and wrong with their earlier forecasts of decent snow. Odd...that never happens.
  16. mitchnick
    Wind has picked up.
  17. mitchnick
    Just checked my NWS forecast. Went from 2-4" to 1-3" this PM. Says snows arrive after 3pm. I'll take that and hope for the 2-3".
  18. mitchnick
    Oye, I haven't been looking at the short term models, but just did. Rap and Hrrr say that the stuff on radar never amounts to anything imby. Oh well. We'll find out, but certainly less optimistic.
  19. mitchnick
    Shoot me now.
  20. mitchnick
    Headed my way...save me some!
  21. mitchnick
    Bigger flakes have now shown up as that stuff out west and NW is arriving. I really think many of us will be pleasantly surprised. Obviously, it will take some locational luck, but doesn't it always?
  22. mitchnick
    Stuff out of Pitt radar making it across the mtns. Got come south eventually. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  23. mitchnick
    Lwx radar is now showing radar returns to our west heading toward us. Give it some time. We have a NE flow to help with mtn loss, but it's a nail biter. Anyway, my call of 3-5" from early yesterday looks good now. But honestly, if we do get a lucky break on that stuff out west, I could bust low as I measured 2.75" this morning.
  24. mitchnick
    Why? Pitt radar https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  25. mitchnick
    I think we'll do fine with it, even up here.
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