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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Last night's end of Eps got colder. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=us&pkg=T850a&runtime=2025012500&fh=360
  2. mitchnick
    Ninja'd lol
  3. mitchnick
    Sorry for the disjointed posts on the AI. I just started looking at this, so I don't have all aspects of it down. Lol One last post. Perfect vort pass for us. Move it forward frombthis spot. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=eus&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025012500&fh=168
  4. mitchnick
    Cold air actually feeds in as the storm progresses if you move it forward. P.s. Similar track to last week's storm when you think about it.
  5. mitchnick
    And looky what the AI is now doing, but temps are warmish but give it tome to trend. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=eus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025012500&fh=168
  6. mitchnick
    Geps is colder than Eps at the end of its 12z run. It was not too many days sgo it was ending AN and the warmest of the 3 ensembles.
  7. mitchnick
    They play it indoors a lot to avoid it, but that's a good question.
  8. mitchnick
    Today’s weeklies. They are run off the 0z EPS from the night before. Sort of a major change between last night's 0z EPS and today's 12z. If 0z tonight follows today's 12z, I'm bettin' tomorrow's weeklies will be better. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202501240000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502030000
  9. mitchnick
    Just tired of seeing them win like I was tired of seeing the Giants and Patriots win in past years.
  10. mitchnick
    Anybody but Kansas City, and I'm not even a real football fan.
  11. mitchnick
    End of Eps looks nice. Like the AI, SER basically history with BN temps.
  12. mitchnick
    Maybe some ice at the start of 2/1 event we've been wasting time on for the last 5 days.
  13. mitchnick
    AI has nothing except the SER is gone at the end of the run.
  14. mitchnick
    This Euro run sure dried up, at least thru 330hrs.
  15. mitchnick
    Encouraging that there are a few with big hits. I guess that means there weren't any big hits in prior runs.
  16. mitchnick
    Odd that thru 276hrs the Gefs has a pretty good snowfall mean of 2-2.5+", as opposed to 1" or less the past few runs. Might be counting sleet as snow, idk?
  17. mitchnick
    There's something faster?
  18. mitchnick
    If I can't have all snow, gimme an inch or 2 of snow and then sleet and zr to glaciate it.
  19. mitchnick
  20. mitchnick
    Remember, Canadians were the warm models last time and were more right than wrong.
  21. mitchnick
    Gem total zr
  22. mitchnick
    Starts with this panel. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025012412&fh=222&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=prateptype-imp&m=gdps
  23. mitchnick
    Gem is lt snow to ice for many. Obviously, exact location depends on a lot of things.
  24. mitchnick
    Gem now starts as snow
  25. mitchnick
    Gem not quite as bad looking at 186hrs.
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