bkviking

We are well within range and live a few blocks from one another - so your reading corroborates with mine pretty well. Healthy drink today so I won’t be watering the herbs and plants . Lol

Smithtown LI - my weather station shows .62” from storms today. I’m out east in Port Jefferson and storms keep forming and cutting a little west of me here (into Setauket). Another one on way now. I know family has heavy rain further east into Shoreham area also a short while ago.

In Smithtown, LI I have .41” for the day today with that batch of showers that came through around noon. Add .06” yesterday.

That big radar blob came right at me in Smithtown last night so ended up with .64”. We take.

DCA +0.7 100 NYC +0.9 99 BOS +0.5 98 ORD +0.2 97 ATL -0.2 97 IAH +1..5 99 DEN 0.8 100 PHX 1.6 120 SEA +1.4 95

The look in Port Jefferson over the harbor looks like a classic heat wave end of July into August. Slight smoky smell but my nose ain’t the greatest, so probably worse.

I am a NYC subforum member but since I’m on LI I spend a lot of time in NE subforum and I must say we should give credit to @Typhoon Tip for having speculated about ENSO “normal “ influences due to new state of SST anomalies. He’s been saying this for years and now with discussion of “RONI” it’s pretty clear Tip was onto something.

1.6” here in central LI - Smithtown . Wind driven rain now. Screw this incoming El Niño. They ruin springs and summers. Smell 2009, 2003 type garbage incoming and don’t care for it.

DCA -1.1 NYC -1.2 BOS -0.8 ORD +0.1 ATL -0.2 IAH -0.3 DEN +1.3 PHX +1.5 SEA +0.8

Port Jefferson - with an awesome unique sunset

What you just said makes sense - because by September the rising motion in Atlantic , while still there, has tailed off. I don’t know.

I’m curious to ask about following photos from Ben Noll on Twitter showing the rising and sinking motion forecasts this month, next, June, then September - with a sudden change in June - which continues on his tweet all summer. This is due to El Niño circulation beginning to take over. My question is , with all the rising motion in East Pacific forecast why does Atlantic also show rising motion ? Shouldn’t the circulation suppress convection there? Any idea what this means - as this is modeled? Does this indicate possibly more active Atlantic hurricane season than normal ?

In Port Jefferson it started nice but “drizzery” is here and suddenly much cooler.

April 8, 2024 is going to be last full widespread eclipse for many of us on this board. At this point it’s about pinpointing the best possible viewing conditions. Sadly , the Ohio valley and northeast Great Lake region is known for cloudiness. So where is it good ? Southwest Texas is the best spot it seems based on these maps but can track as we head into year.

Not expecting much here in Smithtown - north shore LI - but lightening constant to west - and hearing rolling Thunder… constantly .. pretty cool even if it wanks out. It’s early April .

I really don’t understand how other sub forums don’t seem to interact/post about what’s coming 4/4. I mean - some of attention behind this thing is rather extraordinary- high confidence major outbreak larger than what they went through yesterday.

Yeah my bad. The severe weather moments are flickering moments and every outlook is usually more hope than reality. June 2010. August 2014. November 2022. That’s of top of mind. Our marine layer makes LI a severe storm wasteland most times.

CPC has us warmer than normal. Not sure that means much anymore. But above normal precip - which tends to be an El Niño symptom for our area. Anecdotally, incoming El Niños have been nasty summers. Summer 2009 is one that sticks in mind as such a nightmare. But I’m sure others can offer the true statistics on these.

57° in Port Jefferson - with breaking clouds. Was light rain an hour ago. We need sun to have chance at storms. Luckily , I don’t count on it here in Suffolk in April.

Gensini is usually cautious…

4/4/23: Gensini is usually cautious..

DCA: +1.7 NYC: +1.5 BOS: +1.3 ORD: +0.8 ATL: +2.1 IAH: +2.1 DEN: -0.4 PHX: -0.6 SEA: -1.0

It’s astounding out— wind hasn’t wrecked things here as I expected (yet). Long range shows rain next Saturday again. I hope not. Seems like every weekend has had one bad day - either really cold, or rainy - for many weeks now.

You’re one of the treasures of this weatherboard and have been keenly followed by me through multiple boards now. But the human element of a rough fate I think many of us relate to or have experienced. In my case my mom was in a nursing home from 2016, shutdowns happened 3/11/20, we were unable to see her and in that time she exhibited signs of some massive issue which ended up being breast cancer. My 3 sisters and myself rushed to get her out of NH to not let her die alone and we got her out June 9, 2020 and she died 10 days later. It’s still a shock to us - no matter that she was 84. So fellow heartfelt condolences over your situation - where a you as a family member tried your best - easily all for the better - but regardless such tragic ends and stresses resulted. Also , the brutality of cancer and how it creates a type of suffering that afflicts the victim but also their loved ones. Never experienced that before in my family but it strikes so many of us and tears us apart. I , too , like any of us on this thread , will keep an eye out for anything but wishing you best wishes to get through this rough period but just knowing it will eventually get better.

DCA: -1.8 NYC: -1.4 BOS: -1.2 ORD: -1.8 ATL: +0..5 IAH: +1.5 DEN: -1.2 PHX: +0.2 SEA: +0.2