Looks like it’s about to pull two straight rain outs in Port Jefferson - tonight I did not expect at all ! Advancing showers heading to Port Jeff Village
Actually pretty nice out in Port Jefferson like PSV said - pretty nice breeze - tropical but nice in shade especially . Btw, photo below from Port Jeff harbor attest to the tropical Feel - looks more like Florida or islands :
Don - the SOI has been way above average between moderately strong and extremely above average for seemingly weeks now.
I presume this despite MJO/ CCKW crossing the pacific - nonetheless it is reinforcing a La Niña pattern . Can this lend confidence to at least next 4 months ?
even if things suddenly changed - isn’t this La Niña pattern baked into future at this point ?
i am not sure but presume we are safe with La Nina styled pattern for summer at this point .
mot sure where we stand statistically at this point although this is quite anonymous with a third year La Niña .
This from Twitter from Dr Alecia Bentley on severe storms in northeast and why certain o patterns over-perform (maybe explaining tonight’s underperformance)
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/32/5/waf-d-17-0044_1.xml