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Everything posted by bkviking
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20 years today is also the coldest blizzard I’ve been through on Long Island. Great storm.
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2009-10 was perfect - winter in December , then one of biggest Februarys all time.. big , warm storm ~ March 7/8 then torch away into a perfect Spring and tons of 90s with much lower DewPoints than recent years .
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I thought Snowmageddon was the Feb 26 storm that I believe brought around 20" to NYC/LI but further north had rain?
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February 2023 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +3.8 NYC: +3.4 BOS: +3.4 ORD: +2.2 ATL: +3.2 IAH: +1.2 DEN: +0.8 PHX: +0.2 SEA: +0.2 -
Well - though it still fluctuates - that’s weakest this - ENSO has become in a long time, Don.
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Chuck or someone - isn’t it time to start a new ENSO topic as it appears we will at least end La Niña and looking more likely that an inevitable El Niño could be coming .
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Snow flurries in Port Jefferson , LI.
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January 2023 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +2.7 NYC: +3.0 BOS: +3.0 ORD: +2.0 ATL: +0.9 IAH: +0.5 DEN: +1.0 PHX: +0.2 SEA: +0.4 -
Anyone know what happened to Isotherm? Miss his analysis. I think his last winter outlook a few years ago frustrated him.
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Cool looking line approaching LI now
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Isotherm was on such a hot streak for years and hit a lot of issues - like everyone - the past few years - and I wonder if that’s why he gave up long range forecast its attempts. Or even showing up anymore.
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NYC 44” EWR 32” MMU 58” ISP 47” SWF 60”
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Don’t know with any scientific reason but aren’t La Nina’s just the “normal/neutral “ conditions (Ie, Hadley cell ) but stronger -whereas El Niños are the opposite of both ? Wouldn’t that lend to La Nina’s being a more “natural” variant ? Idk - just speculating. Would be curious for someone to know the statistical variation and also why.
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Please say clearly your thoughts
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Radar quite solid now with large mass of convective type storminess heading northeast towards NYC/LI. Rains today have been that distinct tropical type rains - small little droplets
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November 2022 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +2.3 NYC: +2.4 BOS: +2.4 ORD: +1.4 ATL: +2.0 IAH: +1..5 DEN: +1.2 PHX: +1.0 SEA: -1.0 -
Sudden crash of thunder followed by lightning here in Smithtown. Wasn’t paying attention to radar past hours or so but it held together quite nicely …
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Thunderstorms now moving in to eastern Long Island from the east.
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October 2022 temperature forecast contest
bkviking replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +1.0 NYC: +0.8 BOS: +0.2 ORD: +1.0 ATL: +0.6 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +2.5 PHX: +2.3 SEA: +1.9 -
Warnings here in Smithtown- I can see a swivel with the storm coming through. Looks nasty
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Why is he being weenied? It’s truth
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Nudged up to .61” now on the Tempest. you always had best records of LI snow allocation— and I lived in heart of it in Miller Place for years attesting to your records . But now on Stengel so yes nice short walk to Sweetbriar.
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.55” from this stationary storm by me in Smithtown (by Sweetbriar). Glad I didn’t water the veggies.
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