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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    Those model runs which suggested a BN May or much BN May are in serious trouble.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Some much needed rainfall in NE TN/SW VA. @tnweathernutshared with me that part of I-81 were in rough shape in SW VA as one area received like 6-8" of hail. So, in some places...too much of a good thing.
  3. Carvers Gap
    If this next batch of precip weakens as it approaches NE TN(as it has for much of spring), we may find ourselves on the drought monitor by next month. It is getting quite dry. That is a bad sign for summer in regards to heat and drought. Looks like Niña conditions will persist for a while.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Frost advisory here this morning and temps in the mid-30s.
  5. Carvers Gap
    The 18z GFS seems to be honing-in on yet another trough amplification around the second week of May, and yes....snow showers in the mountains. Unreal.
  6. Carvers Gap
    IMHO, depends on if there is a Nina hangover. If there is, early summer could be hot and dry. If Nino begins to take over, the middle to second half of summer could be seasonal (which still means hot) and decent precip. I haven't looked that closely at though, so huge grains of salt there. Spring seems to have been a mix of both.
  7. Carvers Gap
    The 6z GFS has high elevation snows for May 2nd. Not good.
  8. Carvers Gap
    Looks like more BN wx is inbound. Going to have to get some tomato plants in the ground regardless. Time to garden. May is gonna be a fight to keep things growing on track. We had extended summer last fall. After three very summer like days, we are about to get the exact opposite for the first half of May.
  9. Carvers Gap
    It is a little breezy right now but due to kick up. Just heard in the radio that Johnson Co schools are closed to frozen precip up there.
  10. Carvers Gap
    The cold front pushed through just after 4:30 yesterday. I covered up a good chunk of the garden in preparation for frost. Though I am not sure it frosted, the water on the tarps is frozen. So, it looks like we had a bit of a flash freeze just before dawn.
  11. Carvers Gap
    I talked to my Dad who is in his 70s. He said that he remembers springs during his childhood as being really windy. Neither of us remember winds like we have had so far with the exception of maybe one year(can't remember which). Yeah, I am good delaying the really hot weather. This weather is not a huge deal right now, but if it were to drag into May...this could have a negative effect on farmers and gardeners in the region. And yes, it looks like modeling keeps trying to spin up storms/fronts which drag cooler/cold air into our region for a while. My backyard definitely looks the best that it ever has. That is probably true for my street(front yards) as well.
  12. Carvers Gap
    And yet another strong trough amplification is showing up consistently around April 22.
  13. Carvers Gap
    Just read that Red Lodge, MT, (ski slopes) received 27" of snow in 24 hours. I saw on social media that Pony, MT, received 30". Those front range blizzards during spring are no jokes.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Meanwhile, in Bismarck, ND... Seriously, there are some great live shots of the blizzard on NDDOT. https://travel.dot.nd.gov/?layers=cameras,closed-blocked,event-orange,incident-red,informational-grey,roads,travelalerts,warning-blue,warning-yellow
  15. Carvers Gap
    Not sure if we are in an El Nino ENSO state quite yet, but LR modeling doesn't appear to be through with sending repetitive troughs into the eastern half of the country. Honestly, I am starting to become a little concerned that I am going to be able to get my garden out on time. Soil temps are going to be SLOW to warm with this pattern. In addition, it is possible that frost may be a problem well into May. In ten days, I have to start hardening off my tomatoes with the idea to plant them come Derby weekend. Going to be a tight fit to get those in with the modeled cold upcoming.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Awesome!!!!
  17. Carvers Gap
    We are going to need some specialty beer cans out there in order to verify amounts....j/k. Nice shots!
  18. Carvers Gap
    We have had two snow showers(almost looked convective in nature....). Precip began as rain, then it hailed...and then it switched to snow. I don't think the transition was grapple. The hail was pea size. I am not sure I have every seen that sequence of precip.
  19. Carvers Gap
    I jus tread on social media that LeConte Lodge has 6.5" of snow and counting. Driving to JC tonight, I could see peaks(along the spine of the Apps) over 5,000' have snow on them. On the way back from JC as we were crossing Bays on I-26, snow was falling w/ a mix in the valley where rates where high.
  20. Carvers Gap
    And we repeat the pattern of extreme warmth followed by snow. Whew! We've been doing this pattern swing thing for over three months.
  21. Carvers Gap
    The wind is just howling again this afternoon. Have I moved to Chicago?!
  22. Carvers Gap
    @nrgjeff, you wake up yet? That was a late night for you Jayhawk's fans!
  23. Carvers Gap
    What a comeback!!!!
  24. Carvers Gap
    You all have done really well. It is either feast or famine here. March was very dry at TRI. I have found it is very tough to make-up for a dry month during spring. Just looking at the 12z GFS, this appears to be a year where the snows at higher elevations may not stop until late in the season. After several warm weeks, we may be getting ready to return to normal or below. My lettuce in my garden has been struggling due to warm temps during the afternoon and low ground moisture. Hoping that changes back to a more normal spring-like temp cycle during the next few weeks.
  25. Carvers Gap
    I bet he has gone radio silent for fear of a jinx!!! LOL. Anyway, @nrgjeff, good luck to your Jayhawks tonight. They will be who I am pulling for.
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