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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Velocities over 110mph near Tom’s River. Not sure how high that is in the radar beam from OKX but there’s some serious wind not far off the ground.
  2. jm1220
    Some flickering, hanging on so far. Outage seems to be a condo complex on the boardwalk.
  3. jm1220
    Pretty windy in Long Beach so far but nothing crazy.
  4. jm1220
    I had to do it a few times.
  5. jm1220
    If you’ve posted pics before delete them or reduce the size.
  6. jm1220
    Some decent gusts, probably into the 40s.
  7. jm1220
    I’d say gusts to 35-40 in Long Beach so far. Much worse to come I’m sure.
  8. jm1220
    Winds picking up in Long Beach.
  9. jm1220
    Yep, really dynamic system coming. And very high PWAT/dew point air is coming in and as mentioned not much of an inversion. I’d be ready not to have power. With the pace of these storms there won’t be much of a beach left soon.
  10. jm1220
    Exactly how you want a cutter like this to come in so snow is maximized-come in like a white wall so the temps don’t rise or crawl upward at the surface and mid levels like it would during breaks in the precip and into a big high pressure so overrunning is maxed out. Wish we had a big positive bust like this when I was at PSU. I remember disappointment one after another when I was there 2005-09. I know these are really tough to come by in central PA so enjoy!
  11. jm1220
    Maybe a brief surprise well NW of the city? Central PA still getting pounded. State College PA webcams look like a snow globe. Some places around there will probably end up over warning amounts when 1-3” was expected. When I was there I don’t remember one positive bust like this other than an elevation snow event in Oct 2005. Happy for them.
  12. jm1220
    Wow, PSU Arboretum webcam back to almost whiteout. Nice event!
  13. jm1220
    Isaias. Farmingdale hit 78mph in that one. Tree damage was horrible in my area too. In any case this shouldn’t be as bad but again hopefully we can get something to limit the high gusts since 65-70mph is the threshold for where really widespread problems start.
  14. jm1220
    Hoping for our sakes that’s overdone. Definitely don’t want to deal with no power. In any case I’m charging up the appliances today. Wish for once I was in central PA for winter weather. A poster near Altoona has 5” already this morning.
  15. jm1220
    After our non-snowstorm except on the N Shore/central Suffolk where there was up to an inch or so, story tonight will be the wind/coastal flooding. Upton seems quite bullish. You don’t see 70mph gusts forecasted often and they say any inversion will be limited. We’ll see if there’s an organized squall line that can bring those strong gusts down. 70 mph will cause serious power/tree problems regardless of no leaves on the trees. Thankfully the worst SE wind should be during low tide overnight but there’ll also be severe beach erosion and flooding in the vulnerable places like Freeport and Lindenhurst.
  16. jm1220
    I would think with enough preceding cold air, a low taking an unfavorable track could at least be a solid front end before changing over like Feb 1995. If the rain is limited before dry slotting and a lot of snow remains I’m fine with it. People forget that there was rain mixed in at one point or another near the coast in each of the bigger 2020-21 storms.
  17. jm1220
    Wow-State College webcams show almost whiteout happening. Crazy those orange echos are all snow. Too bad time is limited on this one before changing over.
  18. jm1220
    Wow-oranges over State College now and webcams/CC show it’s all snow. Must be piling up in a big hurry. Shame it will be changing to rain pretty soon.
  19. jm1220
    Hopefully. It would be awful luck for us to totally miss out on a block and some real cold air that looks headed our way after 1/12.
  20. jm1220
    If there’s real cold air in place it would improve those odds. But eventually any storm taking that amplified track would go to rain if it tracks over/west of you.
  21. jm1220
    Central PA getting crushed this morning. May be a few inches before they change over.
  22. jm1220
    Yeah we’d want the western ridge axis further east. If the trough is over MN/WI and that deep, it would probably cut the storm north too early for us city and east.
  23. jm1220
    Point and click for Long Beach is up to 70 mph gusts. Wow. Anyway if there’s no inversion tonight there could be serious wind since that LLJ really gets going off the NJ coast. Again we’re lucky the worst winds seem to be during low tide. But the wash overs/beach erosion will be quite severe unfortunately. 70 mph winds definitely will cause a lot of tree/power issues. 50-55 mph is tolerable, 70 another story.
  24. jm1220
    Well-this GFS run definitely brings the cold after 1/12. And no complaints about it on the wrong side of the pole.
  25. jm1220
    There are some patches of snow left on shaded lawns. There was maybe close to an inch here. If there’s a lot of snow on the car it came from north of the city.
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