jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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These enhanced risk days are almost always when there's a strong S flow which is terrible for any severe on LI. We want a westerly flow to counter the marine influence or occasionally a seabreeze boundary pushing into the westerly flow to cause convection. Would've liked more than maybe 10 drops though, would've been nice.
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Good for SW Nassau and the barrier islands at least. Can’t get a break whatsoever IMBY.
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But it’ll be an enhanced risk 0.01!! Not even enough here to wet the ground completely.
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Disgusting outside, feels like August. As always IMBY, I'll believe any storms more than typical thunder/lightning and some gusty winds when I see them east of the Hudson. Hopefully the grass gets a good watering.
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A few drops if we’re lucky.
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Maybe although I'd think it goes N of here. I think the chance for widespread heavy rain would be what's in central PA now. Latest HRRR largely has it surviving.
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Maybe another chance overnight for places that were missed. The barrier islands are bone dry now and need the rain.
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All in all some good lightning/thunder, half decent gusts and mod-heavy rain. South of me by the LIE had it better. My office in Melville probably got rocked-should see some downed branches there in the morning.
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Half decent gusts here, maybe to 40.
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May be in a good spot here in about 20 min.
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Looks like that outflow boundary is helping fire some more storms to the south.
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Wondering if maybe storms can fire between the outflow boundary heading south from the I-78 storms and the remaining sea breeze boundary in NJ. That’s probably the only hope us east of Queens have for more than a few minute shower.
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Don’t worry, very used to NW of I-95 getting soaked, S Jersey getting slammed and a few drops make it east of the Hudson this time of year. We keep watering.
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89 at home. Close. 86 here in Melville.
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Whatever seabreeze must be very weak. Long Beach still over 85. At home it’s 92.
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Well defined seabreeze around Sunrise Highway. Temp 90 here.
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Some stations hit 90 in S/Central Nassau and barrier islands are around 85 from the muted onshore flow.
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If there’s a general line of T-storms that can keep momentum heading east we have a chance especially E of the Hudson. If it’s more daily convection type we’re probably screwed again.
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Some branches down in my neighborhood. Winds were legit.
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There's almost always a dry season this time of year on the extreme south shore.
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A few drops here just now but looks like it’s all we get. South Jersey Alley lit up again.
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Gusting to 32mph now at JFK.
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Yup, models underestimated the heat just away from the shore. Flow is also more westerly now. Hopefully we get a storm or two for the lawns because they’re starting to scorch. We have the worst of both worlds on the N Shore in the heat-we get the humidity plus the high temps. Around Sunrise Highway is where the difference really started today, but once the SSTs get into the 70s the barrier islands will roast too and these S winds drive them up.
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95/71/103 at home on the North Shore, 75 here in Long Beach. Different universe.
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Even in Long Beach it feels pretty hot today. Not nearly as hot as at home but still gross.
