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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Hopefully the worst comes overnight Tue into Wed which would be at low tide. By Wed AM high tide the winds might switch to offshore which would lessen the coastal flood impact quite a bit.
  2. jm1220
    Yes it’s overdone but I could see 60+ mph gusts especially if there’s an organized squall line and/or the inversion breaks. That’ll be enough to knock trees down and power out.
  3. jm1220
    I wonder how real that upslope aspect to the rains are inland. I know those SE winds will be bringing tons of moisture. If so that'll just add to the huge flood threat.
  4. jm1220
    Hopefully this pattern after 1/13 with more blocking can produce something. I have some hope we can get something to materialize and there should be plenty of cold air to tap. Otherwise yeah, in Long Beach where I was for the last storm, even people who generally don’t like snow are wondering when it will snow again, and when their young kids will get to see snow on the ground. So this snow drought is quite unusual even there. The last snow of any consequence on the South Shore was two years ago.
  5. jm1220
    I saw about 10 flakes and kept civilized. If they can’t get over whatever their issue is that’s for their therapist to help them figure out. It very much sucked but you accept there’s nothing you can do to change it other than move or if you have to, wreck up the banter thread.
  6. jm1220
    I try to mention interior/NW but to be honest their outcome with the last storm was determined 4-5 days in advance and I understand how things work down here a lot better. And like others said most posters are from the city/near the coast. As for the ridiculous bickering and insults, those posters need to grow the F up.
  7. jm1220
    95% of them just got a significant to major snowstorm… Anyway definitely concerning system tomorrow night with strong winds (though probably overdone on most modeling) and heavy rains esp NW where snowmelt will cause big flood concerns. Here hopefully the worst happens at low tide again.
  8. jm1220
    I’d like it more when I had some of said snow.
  9. jm1220
    Getting close to new moon so the lunar tides will probably enhance the flooding. Low tide at Jones Inlet is 11:46pm on Tue which is around when the worst of the SE winds might be, so we may luck out again with the worst impact at low tide. The 5:47pm Tue high tide may have the worst flooding but hopefully that's before the worst of the storm.
  10. jm1220
    Yep, 3.1" as of 7pm. Maybe they added a few tenths onto it.
  11. jm1220
    And yes I would definitely be concerned about major flooding N/W of the city where there was significant snow and now 2"+ rain with roaring southerly winds on Tue, with ground already saturated. That's why honestly it's a blessing in disguise for those of us that didn't get much snow. The SE winds will also upslope in some of those same areas, enhancing the rain amounts.
  12. jm1220
    According to the NE forum they had 3.3". If it's still snowing there it may end up close to 4". The WAA part busted from the easterly wind issues but they caught the blossoming CCB which happened too late for us. Not the 10 or 12" some models had and less than the warning event they were supposed to get but something half decent still salvaged.
  13. jm1220
    Here it's patchy coverage on grass left. Would've been a nice scene earlier but I didn't miss much. Hopefully later in the month are better chances.
  14. jm1220
    They ended with over 3 and it's still snowing there but won't amount to much. The CCB blossomed in time for them and the cold air came down. Many more ways for them to get snow.
  15. jm1220
    The Sound helped much of LI big time in the Jan 2022 blizzard. You could see the sound enhanced snow for hours over the eastern 2/3 of the island.
  16. jm1220
    Hopefully my street’s good when I get back. It’s annoying enough around a hill and curvy on a normal day but icy it’s a nightmare.
  17. jm1220
    Sun trying to poke out in Long Beach. Snow flakes mix in with light rain every now and again. Depressing/nasty. Happy for the folks north who got a good event.
  18. jm1220
    Yup, some decent table scraps I guess. As usual the CCB is coming together too late and will be best for New England.
  19. jm1220
    Rain/snow mix in Long Beach.
  20. jm1220
    It’s all about how much the wind gusts can transfer to the ground. If there’s an inversion it’ll get windy but the strong gusts will stay aloft. Right now it looks like a windy 40-50mph system but hopefully not more damaging 60+ mph.
  21. jm1220
    I knew I wouldn't miss much being in Long Beach last night but still would've been nice to see a snowy scene. This place is an absolute winter weather pit.
  22. jm1220
    I was in Long beach. There were some mangled flakes mixed in otherwise rain. My house probably had a coating to half inch.
  23. jm1220
    We might not be totally done on the N shore. The CCB developing will be best north of here for sure but there could be some sloppy accumulation if we get a band or two to extend south. HRRR has 1-2" north of the LIE.
  24. jm1220
    Yep. Any heavier burst is bringing the cold air down. Too bad we had this easterly wind crap to ruin the initial conditions.
  25. jm1220
    Some nice gusts recently. JFK gusted to 36mph. Probably some close to 40 here in Long Beach. Of course other than some bursts of flakes mixed in it’s just been rain. Fitting that 5 miles north in Lynbrook had a half inch or more snow. Maybe there’ll be some left on the grass when I get back home tomorrow.
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