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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    CC mix line is about at the LIE. Looks like the heavy precip was able to punch through the warm layer.
  2. jm1220
    Snow making a comeback on the N Shore? Looks like the CC line is crashing south.
  3. jm1220
    Winds definitely picking up.
  4. jm1220
    Way overdone down here. There are some places on LI that have maybe an inch, not anywhere near the 6” shown and the whole island is over to rain or sleet now. Central Park also has 0.2” and that’ll likely be it.
  5. jm1220
    Yeah, this heavy precip area is surging the mix line north. It’s likely associated with the stronger WAA.
  6. jm1220
    Ugh, wish I was at home. Stations around me are 32-33 so what’s falling is sticking even if slowly. 37 in Long Beach and rain.
  7. jm1220
    FWIW it’s raining quite hard here in Long Beach. Probably bodes well for you for a while.
  8. jm1220
    Seeing a couple 32s popping up in my area. Heavier snow doing work.
  9. jm1220
    Looks like some better returns coming in. Too bad. With marginal temps like this you want the snow to come in like a wall. Could’ve been a couple inches probably if it started up like it did in NJ.
  10. jm1220
    33 at most spots on the north shore, heavier snow is probably sticking.
  11. jm1220
    As was expected.
  12. jm1220
    Flakes struggling to stay mixed in here on Long Beach. Nasty.
  13. jm1220
    Hoping for a coating to an inch at home. It'll get us on the board for measurable at least.
  14. jm1220
    I knew this was the probable result for days now so I'm not surprised. At my house on the north shore there might be some slush before rain but this just wasn't a favorable setup for us. Hopefully this reset around 1/15 can bring more opportunities.
  15. jm1220
    Started as about 3 snowflakes in Long Beach, now rain.
  16. jm1220
    I’d probably pick somewhere along the I-88 corridor, Cooperstown area maybe. They get some of everything-lake effect and can get slammed by synoptic storms. Also not too far from NYC.
  17. jm1220
    Still hopeful for a sloppy inch. I guess if any place on LI can end up with something it’ll be my area.
  18. jm1220
    Mostly yes. They have more cold air available and room to deal with weaker confluence before the storm is pushed east.
  19. jm1220
    Winds now are out of the NW. That’ll be good enough for inland/north folks but as soon as the winds switch to E or ENE, for the coast whatever cold/dry air benefit is gone.
  20. jm1220
    Boston the city is dealing with the same easterly wind problem we are. Waters there are a few degrees colder so they have some more wiggle room but if they’re 34-35 in snow, accums in the city will be much reduced. Once you’re in places 10 miles or so inland it’s probably the best spot to be in the whole storm.
  21. jm1220
    If it’s 36 with snow falling it probably wouldn’t accumulate at all. It would be hard enough at 33-34 unless it’s falling moderate to heavy. It being at night helps some but 36 is just white rain. People forget as well that the “10-1 snow map” just shows how much liquid falls as snow times 10. It doesn’t say anything about how much is on the ground. It could all be white rain, or 6-8:1 mashed potatoes. It’s why people should look at soundings vs the pretty maps.
  22. jm1220
    I’ll be thrilled when it’s finally tossed in the trash for the replacement, I think RRFS? In any case thankfully it’s being retired so we don’t waste anymore time on it.
  23. jm1220
    Because that area has been getting dumped with cold for the last 3-4 winters. It’s essentially a given. Amazing how that pattern persists even in this strong Nino.
  24. jm1220
    Stop following (not saying you but others) vendors who just want clicks and subscriptions.
  25. jm1220
    Yep exactly and thanks for your analysis. There are difficult to forecast setups we can experience here, to me this wasn’t really one of them and the outcome has been apparent for several plus days.
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