jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Yep, with that we’d probably reach low 90s IMBY but the south shore would be mid 80s. Of course this makes the humidity worse and will drive the SSTs up faster. Even if it’s a few degrees cooler near the coast doesn’t make it feel any better.
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I guess now we need to start looking out for Nantucket Highs in the summer?
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Lawns will need it for sure given what’s coming. Hope we get it.
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Always the chance too that the ridge is too steep/centered west of us which would cause our winds to be southerly or even bring a back door front through. We’d want a flatter ridge for big heat like the Euro. If we start seeing more height falls to our NE again it’s a big red flag IMO.
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12z Euro has 100s area wide late next week. Even has 100 on LI.
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If we really heat up for a while, by Aug if anything we’d want the westerly winds near the coast because the onshore flow just jacks up the humidity with little/any cooling. 93/75 or higher is worse than 98/68. Up here on the N shore is the worst of both worlds.
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Yep, I’d think we want a flatter ridge to keep the flow westerly and downslope for the high end heat. A steep ridge might cause it to be too southerly and promote daily convection.
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Yup, and hopefully enough of this 50-50 trough can remain to recurve them. Of course an active Gulf/Caribbean season screws people regardless. FL is one huge hit into PBI-Miami or Tampa (way overdue) from an insurance catastrophe.
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May all hoodies and coats be thrown outdoors and spontaneously combust.
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The first time we get a deep westerly flow like that many of us will see 100s. We’ve been spoiled with SW or S wind heatwaves the last few summers. I guess we’re fortunate that there’s no major drought that westerly wind would come from but that’s a downslope flow that would heat up big time.
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Yep. I had to put on a… wait for it…. Hoodie!
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If we get a sustained westerly wind heat event (which might be hard with the ridge poking so far north, we’d be prone to more of a southerly flow) it’ll get well into the 100s for most.
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I guess the trade off for perma-Nina ruining our winters is beautiful summers like this without heat. Today I’ll definitely take it.
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Ended with 2-2.5” or so. Those storms just kept firing for most of the evening.
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Been getting drenched here IMBY.
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Yup. More back door garbage.
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Winds off the sound here, compressional heating down there. 81 in Long Beach, 76 here.
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Looks like storms/rain will split N and S of the city/LI.
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My high was 82 I think. If winds could've been SW for a while instead of due S, we would've been upper 80s.
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Anyway-perfection today. 80 currently
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18z GFS for the weekend.... Let's just hope it's wrong.
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I don’t think 80s will be an issue here as long as there’s some westerly component to the wind. The barrier beaches of course are another story.
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That second map especially looks like garbage for us. Hopefully it's wrong. I agree that midweek should be warm if we can get a westerly flow of some kind finally.
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90 in Concord and 70 here with low clouds probably. That would be a kick in the teeth.
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It can be a wet month in the summer if we have a tropical system come in for 2 days and we have 15 days over 90 for a high, or our normally high overnight lows. It’s expected to be a hyperactive hurricane season so it’s certainly doable.
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