jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Next back door front is already on the way-you can see it on radar coming into the twin forks. Definitely was a nice day when the sun came out, but it was a bummer that the summer temps were a bust.
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Kudos to the NAM and other models that kept the summer air at bay. It’s a tough call east of the city whenever there’s a back door/SE wind pattern. GFS had the wind turning westerly which never happened here. It did turn nice once the clouds finally broke but the barrier beaches probably stayed at 60 or below.
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Cleared out but stuck at 70 likely due to the onshore wind. The warmer models also had us switching to a W wind and we’re still SE. That also caused the clouds to hang on. This’ll be as warm as we get until the wind changes.
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I mean I’m at 62 now which isn’t bad, but of course today’s the day the clouds refuse to break up, when we had a legit shot at 80. NAM for the win?
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The Bronx at 71 now and I’m stuck at 55 and mist. Cmon….
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There was a bit of a model war yesterday between the 3k NAM that had a more cloudy/backdoor-y look today and GFS which shot everyone west of the William Floyd to 80. Looks like Upton lowered my point/click high for the day. It’ll be a day to day struggle as long as we’re in this pattern.
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70s in W NJ. We’ll shoot right up when the clouds break unless the onshore flow kicks up.
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When the clouds break, we’ll take off. Models kept it cloudy the last 2 days so they were too cold. Watch this be the day the clouds hang on.
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Wow, 75 in a few areas. Winds are light so the seabreeze/back door front aren’t big factors. Tomorrow should hit 80 for most if we clear out early.
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Very nice here after clouds broke up, and probably off to the races over 70 where seabreeze is muted. Tomorrow might be near 80 again.
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Yup, we need to get that out of here before any consistent warmup.
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Hopefully a stray shower or two can survive to here (I doubt it) just so the pollen can be washed off my car.
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In a back door marine layer situation we usually do stay cloudy. Luckily the clouds broke up/burned off so we heat up.
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Models had it staying cloudy so lower temps. It’s also a SE not NE wind which helps.
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As long as we have this 50-50 low and trough to our NE, there's always a threat for backdoor front stretches.
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Huge lines today in the middle of town, Gino’s etc. Didn’t get a chance to stop at Gino’s, should have. That’s never a bad call.
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I was just in Long Beach, it was a mob scene this afternoon. And you can walk on the beach even with no lifeguards.
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97 would be a cheap daytime high on a day like that but it counts!
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Would be funny how often times in Long Beach our hottest temps during a heat wave everywhere else would be as it’s ending after the cold front passes and the wind turns N with the hot air from the city coming through.
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If we have westerly vs southerly flow on Mon it should be off to the races. Any downslope component/help and compressional heating near the sea breeze boundary will rocket us up E of the city.
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Should’ve at least been a frost advisory for N Nassau.
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Brief moderate shower.
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Sky darkening off to my west. Decent anvil associated with the incoming rain/storms. Looks like it actually might survive across part of the island.
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That second highs map to me for Tue says SE wind which keeps it cool east of the city. So it looks like there’ll be some kind of front around or strong onshore flow. Low 70s is still perfectly fine though if we get sun and avoid stratus from the onshore flow.
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The heat index makes it feel just as bad if not worse on LI now with the southerly winds in the summer and regular 75+ dews. In Aug if anything the seabreeze just makes it feel worse here. 92F with a 76 dewpoint is 105 heat index, 96/71 is 104 heat index. So both in terms of actual heat are just as bad. The worst places in a heat wave now are probably the north shore of LI/much of NYC that still heat up before the seabreeze kicks in and still terrible humidity, and less chance of the T-storms that often fire inland and die before reaching the coast. Like Bluewave says though it's only a matter of time before we get a big heat dome here like the rest of the country's seen where we all likely get well over 100 and some places like EWR reach 110.
