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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    It’s pointless to discuss specifics 180 hours out.
  2. jm1220
    No. (LI and NYC anyway). I couldn’t care less about white rain.
  3. jm1220
    You’re in the wrong forum. That should be infuriating for both you and me. Disgusting, insert horrible adjective. It’s how I see that map anyway.
  4. jm1220
    Essentially how it’s been for the last 15 years.
  5. jm1220
    Seems like a pretty vigorous upper low coming through so I could see it trying to tuck into the coast. Like others said it’s a done deal for a washout down here regardless so hopefully some closer in NW suburbs can have something decent.
  6. jm1220
    The new strain has likely been here for months.
  7. jm1220
    Not that unusual they receive snow in the mountainous areas there but that’s a pretty sizeable event. When I lived in TX in Dec 2015, there was an 18” snowstorm in Lubbock which isn’t in the Trans Pecos mountains. Austin is getting a cold nasty rain event with mid-40s temps and some snow nearby in the Hill Country.
  8. jm1220
    Terrible. That’s what happened here in April.
  9. jm1220
    The GFS cold bias is more of a suppressed bias. It didn’t see the warm air aloft in the Dec winter storm since it also had the mid level lows tracking too far south. The warm bias is at the surface-due to its poor resolution not seeing surface cold air pooling. I would go with the Nam any day to see the low level cold air and any mid level warmth-it typically resolves those a lot better.
  10. jm1220
    1/3/18 was one of the most ferocious blizzards I’ve been in for sure.
  11. jm1220
    Absolutely, this event is legit down here.
  12. jm1220
    Howling outside here in Long Beach. Have power still but this rate not much longer.
  13. jm1220
    The most rain would be in upslope areas in NY/NJ that typically do well in SSE flow events like this. Otherwise I wouldn’t expect more than 2” in any particular place. Main story from this would be winds-which are kicking up here in Long Beach. Having an eggnog and paying a vigil to the few remaining snow piles.
  14. jm1220
    In Long Beach today, boardwalk is definitely windy already. Sad to see what little snow there is here disappearing.
  15. jm1220
    Will be the case regardless lol
  16. jm1220
    A good amount of snow melted here the last 48 hours but of course that isn’t the biggest threat down here. We lost a lot of weaker trees from Isaias, Sandy, Mar 2010 etc but Christmas without power is something no one’s looking forward to, and it’ll happen to a lot of people if we have to deal with 70+ mph gusts.
  17. jm1220
    CA would have to roughly double its hospitalization numbers to make it to NY’s per capita since CA has almost double the population. But of course the outbreak in April was largely focused down here in the NYC area and the rest of the state wasn’t affected as much.
  18. jm1220
    Good thing this snowpack is so water logged. It’ll hang on as long as it can. Irrelevant if this Xmas Eve 70 mph southerly wind event happens I guess lol.
  19. jm1220
    Geez, the snow might not get melted as much as blown away lol
  20. jm1220
    Just NY was nearly 1000 deaths per day at one point although we didn’t have the capabilities we have now. Especially now with CA hospitals full and still turning in 30000 cases per day, could get really bad soon.
  21. jm1220
    Dec is typically when we’d get snowstorms in a Nina so this is evolving the way a Nina should. There’s been more blocking than some predicted which is great, but we have to keep that in place especially since part 2 of Nina winters are usually warm and snowless here.
  22. jm1220
    We may have gotten over 8” with the afternoon snow showers we had but I’ll just say we ended with 8” here since I didn’t bother measuring
  23. jm1220
    First time for sure I heard thundersnow. Absolutely incredible rates. I was in Long Beach then-2 towns over reported 16”. Believable.
  24. jm1220
    Glad it's being upgraded soon.
  25. jm1220
    Verification: North Shore was pretty good. NYC was higher than I had with a lot of 10-12" amounts for the northern half of the city and over half a foot elsewhere. I-78 corridor in NJ seems like it came in with the 6-9" range. NJ coast I'm not seeing much if any reports of snow, if any they were less than 1" that was washed away fast. South Shore also looked pretty good. From what I could tell it was about 3" on the south fork and maybe 6-7" in the Rockaways. I was underdone on I-95 south toward Trenton, a lot of 6-7" amounts there. Westchester was good. Rockland may have gotten into the dryslot and/or had sleet since they on the low end of my thoughts. Same for coastal CT since there were a lot of amounts on the low end of what I had. Morris/Warren County NJ along I-80 also on the low end. Orange/Putmam/Sussex County/away from coastal CT I was too high. Maybe subsidence area from the deformation snow further north. Same with the Poconos/Catskills as the deformation snow band was further north along I-88. End result: Underdone in NYC and I-95 SW of the city, overdone in northern/western areas. LI/Westchester better. Overall grade: C+
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