
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Map in parts of Suffolk are underdone. Commack, E Northport and here had 8” not 6”. Maybe just splitting hairs.- 1,011 replies
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Was a warning sign for days that models like the GFS and Euro were too cold. But we could’ve had a few inches extra if the WAA snow last night didn’t become chopped up after a few hours. That allowed warm air aloft to come in faster. Notice how the mix line essentially stopped then started north again when the precip broke up. Anyway 10.5” in Central Park and a 7-12” event overall in the city is great for December.
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December 16 2020 CTP Snowstorm Disco and Obs
jm1220 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nice!! The State College webcams look amazing today. -
December 16 2020 CTP Snowstorm Disco and Obs
jm1220 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Awesome! I knew you were in for it there. I told you a couple of days ago to start getting pumped lol. And it’s good since IPT is known for moderate events, not huge crippler events like this. -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Your total would be 7.4" then if you didn't count the sleet. Sleet counts in the total too.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Central Park up to 10.5" at 1pm. LGA 10.1", JFK 7.2", ISP 7.4", Upton 7.6", EWR 11.4". Looks like the Bronx ended with 12-13". Orange and Putnam look like they relatively got skunked by the insane band north of them. Impressive how many 10"+ reports there were in NYC, so a very nice event for Dec.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sun is out with a moderate snow shower.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Huge fluffy flakes with this too.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow here again. Crazy- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Geez. Even on good days though no one knows how to drive there it seems- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yikes, OK thanks. Wind was howling here too but I’m sure was worse down there. Luckily since almost no big trees post Sandy are left there, not as much to fall on power lines and take them out.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
@wdrag The call for an icy mess on the immediate coast here looks like it worked out. Parents in Long Beach say there’s ice everywhere, guess it rained for a time down there and all refroze. Not sure how much snow/sleet but hopefully 5-6”? Anyway now it’ll freeze into a brick if not already. Sun starting to peek out here and snow’s done. Very nice event even if it verified on the low end of expectations for snow amounts. My more conservative thought worked out well. Here I think I’ll go with 8” but may have been a little more if rain/sleet compacted the snow overnight.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That deformation band almost always gets further north than models show. The razor sharp northern cutoff also looks like it wasn’t quite the case, amounts dropped off more gradually. Huge surprise I’m sure to Albany and just north that weren’t even under watches 48 hours ago I believe.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
At this rate under this band, might add another inch.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Coming down moderate again.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just measured again, have a little under 8”. This little weenie band on 25A is close by, hopefully it can come through.- 1,011 replies
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Farmingdale at one point was 35 and rain so I assume everyone from the Suffolk border on east did as well. I was asleep as well, have no idea. There was 2” at 7am on top of a crusty layer which must have been the rain and sleet so that back end snow came after.
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Actually snowing at a decent clip here again.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice! And probably some more after that so maybe ending close to 11”?- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Interesting. I’ll have to see if I can drive down Rt 110 later and see if/where the snow totals dropped off.- 1,011 replies
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The early dryslot ruined things more than the warmth aloft did. It wasn’t overly strong, and the Nam actually overdid it a little. If the snow shield would have held and not chopped up after the first few hours, we all would have a few more inches and we’d be closer to Upton’s point/click yesterday afternoon. The chopped up precip also allowed the warm mid level air to take over sooner.
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The 7” or so I have is what’s on a table top behind my house, so possibly could have been a little more which the sleet helped compact overnight, or inflated from blowing. I’ll go with what North Shore WX who does it properly reports lol. Light snow continuing.- 1,011 replies
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December 16 2020 CTP Snowstorm Disco and Obs
jm1220 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Very nice! Much bigger than any event I saw living there 2004-2009. Was hoping you guys could crack over 20” but still, looks like the best event since maybe 1994? -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Helps to be on the northern end of these events with that big deformation high ratio band. I’m sure there’s over 2” liquid there but it was probably 15-1 ratio for much of it. Incredible.- 1,011 replies
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