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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Looks like a small final light snow burst forming over Nassau. Hopefully that can pivot over and drop a little additional accum.
  2. jm1220
    Light snow here currently, good bit of blowing around. Looks like I had about 2” in this back end stuff so far, definite sleet/ice layer in there. Altogether I think I have 7” or so but hard to tell for sure with the blowing.
  3. jm1220
    Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol
  4. jm1220
    Sleet here. Fights back and forth with snow once in a while.
  5. jm1220
    50/50 snow and sleet. Fighting back and forth.
  6. jm1220
    Mainly pinging with some snow mixed in. Winds continue to pick up.
  7. jm1220
    I live on a curving road that goes up and downhill. Haven't see it plowed yet.
  8. jm1220
    Air being too cold where the flakes form make them like needles and poor/average ratios like 10-1 or a bit lower. I remember numerous snow events in central PA where we had this tiny sand snow that took forever to add up. The best flakes that pile up fast are dendrites that form in -12 to -18C air so for good ratios you look for strong lift and moisture in that layer. The big flakes here are very likely due to them partly melting and aggregating on the way down.
  9. jm1220
    Down to pixie dust light snow/flurries.
  10. jm1220
    Probably. Heavier rates overcome the warm air aloft.
  11. jm1220
    Nice-2" in one hour, 5" total.
  12. jm1220
    Heavy precip burst making headway towards LI from the Atlantic. We'll see what that consists of up here.
  13. jm1220
    Models kind of suggested that happening. The heavier patches of precip can hopefully overcome the warm layer aloft.
  14. jm1220
    The breaks in the precip are allowing warm mid level air to take over, lift isn't as strong in these broken precip patches, etc. Where the precip can come down harder it seems to change back to snow. Dual pol still looks splotchy in places.
  15. jm1220
    Central Park 2.6" only at 7pm? They've had 0.6" liquid already so they must be near 6"? Crazy, who knows what the zookeeper comes up with.
  16. jm1220
    Huge flakes, measured on average a little over 4"-4.5". Wind picking up, all snow.
  17. jm1220
    Must be coming down insanely hard at your place. Clearfield County lit up in yellow!!
  18. jm1220
    Another burst here, huge flakes.
  19. jm1220
    No sleet here, just tiny flakes in these breaks.
  20. jm1220
    Dual pol mix line S of Long Island looks to be making more headway. The broken precip shield might be helping warm mid level air make headway.
  21. jm1220
    Wouldn't worry about it. That yellow band west of you pivoting through can dump that in a few hours.
  22. jm1220
    Doesn't seem on dual pol like there's a real defined sleet/snow line in NJ, more like pockets that come and go. OKX is finally showing a north advance of a mix line south of LI now but it seems to start and stop.
  23. jm1220
    Measured in a few places, about 3.5". All snow still.
  24. jm1220
    How much on the ground there? Not surprised at all Long Beach would be one of the first places on LI to mix. Grew up knowing it.
  25. jm1220
    Also has to be visibility of under 0.25 mile.
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