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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    2002 was a dry/hot summer and 2002-03 was a very good winter but it was also a moderate Nino, this will almost certainly be another Nina. So I think many other factors will determine how good quality the winter will be.
  2. jm1220
    Near the barrier islands, many trees died from saltwater inundation during Sandy. In Long Beach there are very few tall trees anymore, most are newly planted after Sandy. We had a major nor'easter in March 2010 with 75-80mph winds that also destroyed many trees. But what trees there are on the south shore look awful in general this summer.
  3. jm1220
    Color me totally stunned.
  4. jm1220
    Brief shower here with the cell that went through Melville.
  5. jm1220
    Radar says maybe 0.50” there. It was tiny and flew by. Enough to make some puddles and that’s it, wayyy more needed.
  6. jm1220
    Long Beach might actually get a T-storm, it’ll be close. Fingers crossed.
  7. jm1220
    Tons of dry air being funneled into the Atlantic from the Sahara for one thing, and also increased shear. Nina usually reduces the shear.
  8. jm1220
    91 here. Thankfully dewpoints are low.
  9. jm1220
    Radar estimating 3-4” in Greenlawn/E Northport this afternoon.
  10. jm1220
    Greenlawn to be the only place on LI where you’ll find them anymore. They had the max 3-4” amounts.
  11. jm1220
    Over an inch here with these storms, constant loud thunder for the last hour. Just east of me has 3” per radar.
  12. jm1220
    Those are just to my east. Loud thunder.
  13. jm1220
    In Long Beach it looks terrible. Most of the trees there are small, new trees planted post Sandy and most of them are losing leaves. Lawns are all dead which haven’t been regularly watered since June.
  14. jm1220
    Maybe the winter can also be anti Nina but I think we know how that will turn out.
  15. jm1220
    Good for the areas that got it. Slid just south of me so I just got about 0.1”.
  16. jm1220
    Never expected much here. The models targeted NJ more and more closer to the event which is all I needed to see. There were 2 very brief showers here that made the street wet for a minute total. We need a large synoptic weather system here for it to rain, otherwise we’re out of luck until the fall sometime when coastal storms or those synoptic storms come back. Looking likely to me that places east of NJ where pop up storms are rare will get bumped up to D3 soon.
  17. jm1220
    While the town still allows us to.
  18. jm1220
    We need a larger synoptic system like a tropical storm. These minor frontal passages won’t do it.
  19. jm1220
    An extremely extremely meh event. Had a brief shower that wet the ground, that’s it so far and may be it total.
  20. jm1220
    The rain looks broken/scattered and I doubt many of us even get the 0.5”. Looks like a small part of Ocean County got 2-3” or so.
  21. jm1220
    Not sold on this at least area wide. Models generally look meh especially east of the Hudson. Any rain is more than welcome but outside of a couple lucky spots I doubt it makes any dent.
  22. jm1220
    Down in Long Beach today-grass/trees look horrendous.
  23. jm1220
    So happy for our deformation drizzle drops this morning. The pavement was wet for about 10 seconds too.
  24. jm1220
    Hopefully but these days I believe it when I see it. These patterns seem to reinforce and lock in place more and more these days.
  25. jm1220
    Dry ground also makes it more likely the 90s happen.
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