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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    I'm up to 5.1" now, with 1.1" over the last hour. A heavy band moved in before noon and hasn't moved.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    We are over-performing here in Cedar Rapids. I'm up to 4". The dry models were certainly wrong. It has been snowing moderately to heavily for four hours and that should continue for another hour or two.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    DVN just lowered Cedar Rapids to 2-3", but the heavy band over us has already produced 2" with several hours to go.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    Our event in CR is going surprisingly well. I haven't measured, but a moderate to heavy band has been parked over us for a while.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The last couple HRRR runs have dropped our total down again, but it is too dry. It shows no accumulating snow til nearly 2pm, but the snow began at 11am.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Models are really turding out over here. On the HRRR, the Omaha to Des Moines to Cedar Rapids to Dubuque corridor has fallen off the cliff on the north edge. Cedar Rapids is down to 2" while the others are <1". With that little snow, from only 0.1" precip, it may be difficult to even measure .
  7. hawkeye_wx
    The 00z NAM is quite a bit different for Iowa than the 12z... has really come back to Earth. The 3k NAM is drier for Chicagoland.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK (10:1)
  9. hawkeye_wx
    0.7" here today, just enough to require shoveling.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, the Canadian is very weak and south. It predicts the western energy to be flatter instead of sharp and digging, so the storm's energy is just swept eastward with little amplification.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The RDPS is well south of the NAM/Euro. The difference appears to have to do with the energy digging into the pacnw. The NAM/Euro dig the initial energy more southward and allow it to eject the Baha energy (our storm) out in front of it. The RDPS digs the initial pacnw energy more eastward so the Baha energy is held south and is unable to eject northeastward until the second piece of energy digs into the pacnw.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    The trend tonight is for the Canadian upper energy to be more suppressive and keep the midwest storm farther south.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    My snow total is 3.1". The liquid total is 0.48", so the ratio is lousy. It started out dry and cold with instant sticking and blowing. Now everything is soaking wet and it's raining. Kudos to the Euro for nailing this one for my area. From the start it had a colder atmosphere and a blob of 3-4" getting down to Cedar Rapids. Most models had little to no snow here until yesterday's runs.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    It would also be in the teens and very windy during this event.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    Whoa, the Euro is coming in hot and nw this run.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    1" here last hour, 2.3" total.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Plenty of time, yes. However, there is a clear southeast trend on all models. The new Canadian has also shifted the heavy snow to my southeast... as did the 06z Euro.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS has now shifted the New Year's storm south, mostly in Missouri and Illinois. The southeast trend needs to stop or I'll end up with nothing.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    1.3" here so far, the first measurable snow of the season.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    Models have consistently had Cedar Rapids on the sw edge of the snow, with a sharp gradient between 0 and 4" over my local area. That is playing out as the mix line is already up to the airport south of the city. If that line doesn't stop I could end up with only 1" while 4" falls 5-10 miles northeast.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro for Tuesday's system. Models tonight are showing a potential sneaky moderate event from ne IA into southern WI.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    I am currently getting a thunderstorm with hail. It's mostly pea size or smaller, but there were a few pieces up to 3/8 inch.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    When it's one model vs all others, I'm betting on the others. I expect to see flakes, but not much accumulation here. The Euro's 4" in CR looks like nonsense.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    My area has had four straight above to well above average snow seasons, so we were due for a dud.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Same here. Mostly gusting to 50 mph, but a couple up to 60 mph.
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