hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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It's looking like the GFS may have scored a major win with the late-week system. For days the GFS was way out on its own tracking a wrapped-up soaker up through Iowa and Wisconsin. Other models have consistently been weaker and well south... until today. They've all trended much closer to the GFS. The GFS does continue to show significant accumulating snow in Iowa, which is probably bunk. We could all use a nice soaker. 00z Euro
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Today is the final cold day. This morning's Euro has nothing but 50s and 60s across Iowa for the next ten days. Sayonara, winter!
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A member of the other forum, who lives southeast of KC, picked up another 9" from this storm. That area has really done well over the last six weeks.
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5.4" here, easily exceeding the model average.
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I'm doing very well, up to 3.6".
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It has been snowing pretty good here for a while... 2" in only two hours.
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I'm going into tonight expecting 2-3", hoping for 4". When I wake up in the morning to measure, Iowa will probably still be missing free throws.
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The 12z Euro dried up somewhat in Iowa. It went from being one of the most bullish models to being one of the driest. The band across northern Illinois would likely be pretty wet.
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An initial upper wave puts down a swath of snow from NE to northern IA. Then, another potent upper wave drops down and spins up a new system farther southeast. Very cold air gets pulled down behind the second system.
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Best GFS run so far... a decent March snow event if it accumulates as well as models suggest.
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Three thunderstorms today dropped a total of 0.51" of rain in my yard. Clouds and storms prevented our temperature from rising above the low 60s. Nothing to complain about.
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The NAM/3kNAM are really overdoing this system compared to other models.
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The rain is holding us down in the mid to upper 50s so far. Low 60s is probably the best we'll do this afternoon. The first shot of spring humidity is nice.
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It's looking like I'm in a decent spot for snow Sunday night. 12z Euro
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I just saw my first robin of the year.
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I'm currently getting my second thunderstorm of the day. This time, the heavier cells faded southeast as they approached. I'm getting some thunder, but only light rain.
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12z GFS... it all falls overnight here. That will help it accumulate, but it's very poor timing for viewing.
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The Euro has drifted nw and become a bit more robust the last couple runs. Still, the trough is positively tilted and the vast majority of the deep gulf moisture gets gobbled up by Ohio Valley thunderstorms.
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We've hit 60º for the first time this afternoon. Combined with full sun and very little wind, it's delightful.
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Our temp has only been in the mid 20s this afternoon, but the very dry and fluffy 3" of snow is getting zapped pretty quickly by the bright sunshine. Grass is already showing in spots. 30s and sun this weekend will take care of most of the rest.
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I got 3.2" of snow from only 0.12" liquid. The ratio is 26 to 1.
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We were able to hit 58º in the last hour. The wind has died down as well, so it's by far the most pleasant day of the year. I hope we don't have to wait a month to see 58º again.
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Sioux City has made it into the 50s twelve times and the 60s four times since Jan 1st. They've barely had a winter over there.
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It's looking like maybe 2" here late week. A six-week wait for a 2" storm.
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Cedar Rapids just hit 50º for the first time this year. It's still chilly because the wind is strong, but it's a nice spring tease.
