hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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An initial upper wave puts down a swath of snow from NE to northern IA. Then, another potent upper wave drops down and spins up a new system farther southeast. Very cold air gets pulled down behind the second system.
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Best GFS run so far... a decent March snow event if it accumulates as well as models suggest.
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Three thunderstorms today dropped a total of 0.51" of rain in my yard. Clouds and storms prevented our temperature from rising above the low 60s. Nothing to complain about.
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The NAM/3kNAM are really overdoing this system compared to other models.
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The rain is holding us down in the mid to upper 50s so far. Low 60s is probably the best we'll do this afternoon. The first shot of spring humidity is nice.
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It's looking like I'm in a decent spot for snow Sunday night. 12z Euro
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I just saw my first robin of the year.
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I'm currently getting my second thunderstorm of the day. This time, the heavier cells faded southeast as they approached. I'm getting some thunder, but only light rain.
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12z GFS... it all falls overnight here. That will help it accumulate, but it's very poor timing for viewing.
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The Euro has drifted nw and become a bit more robust the last couple runs. Still, the trough is positively tilted and the vast majority of the deep gulf moisture gets gobbled up by Ohio Valley thunderstorms.
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We've hit 60º for the first time this afternoon. Combined with full sun and very little wind, it's delightful.
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Our temp has only been in the mid 20s this afternoon, but the very dry and fluffy 3" of snow is getting zapped pretty quickly by the bright sunshine. Grass is already showing in spots. 30s and sun this weekend will take care of most of the rest.
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I got 3.2" of snow from only 0.12" liquid. The ratio is 26 to 1.
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We were able to hit 58º in the last hour. The wind has died down as well, so it's by far the most pleasant day of the year. I hope we don't have to wait a month to see 58º again.
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Sioux City has made it into the 50s twelve times and the 60s four times since Jan 1st. They've barely had a winter over there.
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It's looking like maybe 2" here late week. A six-week wait for a 2" storm.
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Cedar Rapids just hit 50º for the first time this year. It's still chilly because the wind is strong, but it's a nice spring tease.
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It wasn't a big deal over here. I picked up a couple tenths.
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A nice snow squall would have been nice, but with a temp of 40º here it is falling as rain. It'll probably finish as a bit of snow, but it shouldn't amount to much.
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Worsening drought in the middle of winter is not good. I hope this doesn't continue into the warm season.
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Models have been showing this for a while and they are all pretty consistent. Unfortunately, that means consistently showing mostly light mix around here with only a bit of light snow at the tail end. It's looking quite good for our Minneapolis area members.
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Some models had pushed all precip southeast of Cedar Rapids, but scattered patches of sleet and light snow are moving through the area... enough to coat the pavement and cause DVN to issue an advisory.
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We got into the low to mid 40s today. There is still plenty of scattered thin snow cover, but bare ground is expanding.
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Being teased with significant snow for days only to have the rug pulled out at the last minute is WAY worse than being out of it early. Each of the last two big systems I was confident I was completely out of it with four days to go, so I was able to relax and not worry about anything. Getting missed is no big deal. It's a dud winter. I posted before winter that my area was due for a dud. It happens. There will be other winters, other storms.
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It has now been one month since my area has even been teased by a decent event (being in the good snow 6-7 days out doesn't count). I've received 0.9" of snow over that period. It's not easy to get <1" from mid January to mid February.
