hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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It's up to 28º here. Radar looks busy, but not a single flake has fallen.
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The next clipper, which models were tracking well north of Iowa, is now shown producing 1-2" of snow around here on some models.
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The HRRR continues to drift north and now has the heavy snow band reaching up to Madison. MKX hasn't even issued an advisory for Madison. Meanwhile, Cedar Rapids is in the advisory despite models having trended to showing little to nothing.
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It's looking like 1, maybe 2 inches if we're lucky, on the southern edge of the early Sunday clipper snow band. Cyclone may do a little better. A few spots a county or two north of me may get 3-4".
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My backyard hit -10º this morning. The airport hit -15º. Ames hit -20º.
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We are halfway through the snow season and my backyard has received almost exactly 50% of a typical season total.
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I'm going with an estimate of 6.2" for a total. It's more a guess than anything, based on earlier measurements and more hours of solid snow into the night, because it's impossible to measure. Des Moines officially received 14.3".
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I'm estimating about 4.8" here. The wind is making it difficult.
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I'm up to about 3.9".
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I'm up to 3.1". The rate has averaged about 0.5"/hr this afternoon. The latest HRRR continues to predict several more inches. That may be overdoing it, but it shouldn't be difficult to get a few more.
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The current radar loop shows the snow withering away as it crosses the river. I hope you can get a few inches out of this.
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I'm at 1.1" so far.
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The model average precip for you is 0.25".
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The Euro now has much of eastern Iowa in the 6+" snow.
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The 00z NAM, 3kNAM, and FV3 all have 6-8" here. They even have 3-4" eastward to Cyclone's backyard.
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The trend today is to expand the snow farther east through eastern Iowa. Cedar Rapids was wobbling on the sharp cliff edge this morning. Now we're solidly into 4-6+".
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DVN just issued a winter weather advisory for Cedar Rapids, expecting 4-6". I'd be happy with that. This would be my third 3-6" event of the season.
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We were not expected to hit 40º this week, but we've now done it three straight days. The snow cover is gone, briefly, as soon as you head southwest from Cedar Rapids. I still have a couple inches in my yard.
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Now that the Euro has nudged back east this morning, I'm solidly within the 3-6" area on nearly all models. It's still a sharp edge, though, so any west or east nudge matters.
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The 21z RAP has rain in western Iowa where every other model has 8" of snow. I wish it was correct, but it's garbage. The HRRR and RAP will correct southwestward tomorrow.
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Same here, low 40s. Des Moines is in the mid 50s.
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This morning's trend is not my friend. Models have resumed the drying of the east edge. The Euro is down to 2-3" and the UK 1-2". Others are a bit better, but trending down. It's a bizarre track. When it initially blows up in North Dakota it looks great for a southeast track right through my area, but then it suddenly drops south. Oh well, can't win 'em all. Hopefully we can all cash in in February.
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The 00z Euro expanded the snow back eastward a bit over here, boosting my snow total back up to 4-5". This could go either way. A bit more west and I could end up with 2". A bit more east and I could get 6+". Tonight's models are all very similar. Cedar Rapids has managed to sneak just inside the good snow during the first two events (Dec 28, Jan 1). Let's go for the hat trick.
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It's pretty unusual to have a potent upper wave dive nearly straight south through the plains like that.
